617
FXUS64 KFWD 191818
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
118 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- PROLONGED DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEK WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 90S TO LOW 100S.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 114 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026
A SHORTWAVE ROUNDING THE PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO OUR
WEST WILL KEEP A VERY LOW END CHANCE (10-15%) OF ISOLATED SHOWERS OR
STORMS IN THE FORECAST FOR AREAS NORTH OF I-20 THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. OTHERWISE, SUNNY SKIES PREVAIL ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL
TEXAS. TEMPERATURES HAVE BEGUN THEIR STEADY CLIMB, WITH HIGHS TODAY
EXPECTED IN THE MID-TO-UPPER 90S ACROSS THE REGION, AND HEAT INDEX
VALUES IN THE LOW 100S. OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE CREEPING UP AS WELL, WITH
MID-TO-UPPER 70S ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS, WITH NEAR-
80 FOR THE METROPLEX. LOOK FOR MUCH THE SAME CONDITIONS TOMORROW, AS
HIGH PRESSURE MORE FIRMLY SETTLES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. HIGHS
WILL BE IN THE UPPER-90S TO LOW-100S, WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE
LOW TO MID 100S.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 114 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026
HOT AND GENERALLY DRY WILL BE THE THEME OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW-100S AND HEAT INDEX VALUES
OF 105-110 WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD ACROSS NORTH TEXAS AS SOON AS
TUESDAY, WITH HEAT ADVISORIES BECOMING INCREASINGLY LIKELY. FOR
CENTRAL TEXAS, TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER, WITH HIGHS
RIGHT AROUND 100, AND HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 100-105. UNFORTUNATELY,
EVEN OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL BE STEAMY, WITH LOWS IN UPPER-70S
TO LOW-80S.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE NEAR-ZERO THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD, BUT THAT MIGHT CHANGE THANKS TO A NEW TROPICAL SYSTEM.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 HAS FORMED IN THE EASTERN GULF, AND MAY COME
INTO PLAY FOR US HERE BY THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. SOME OF THE
MESOSCALE HURRICANE MODELS INDICATE THE SYSTEM BEING CAUGHT IN THE
EASTERLY FLOW AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE HIGH AND BEING
STEERED INTO THE WESTERN GULF. MEANWHILE, GLOBAL MODELS KEEP IT WELL
TO THE EAST. SHOULD THIS TROPICAL MOISTURE MAKE IT INTO THE WESTERN
GULF, IT WOULD RESULT IN CHANGES TO TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION
FORECASTS FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND COMING WEEKEND. FOR NOW,
UNCERTAINTY REMAINS HIGH, AND THIS IS A FEATURE TO KEEP A CLOSE
WATCH ON OVER THE COMING DAYS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 114 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THERE IS A
VERY LOW (10-15%) CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM NORTH OF I-20
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COVERAGE WILL BE TOO LIMITED TO WARRANT
A THUNDER MENTION IN THE TAF. OTHERWISE, SOUTH WINDS AT 7-14 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD FOR ALL TERMINALS.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 79 101 80 104 / 10 0 0 0
WACO 75 97 75 99 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 76 97 77 99 / 10 0 0 0
DENTON 77 101 78 104 / 10 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 78 99 79 103 / 10 0 0 0
DALLAS 80 101 81 104 / 10 0 0 0
TERRELL 76 98 77 101 / 10 0 0 0
CORSICANA 76 98 77 100 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 73 96 73 97 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 73 99 74 101 / 10 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...BEALO
LONG TERM....BEALO
AVIATION...BEALO
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