381
FXUS64 KFWD 200632
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
132 AM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- PROLONGED DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEK WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 90S TO LOW 100S.
- A HEAT ADVISORY WILL GO INTO EFFECT FOR MUCH OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR PEAK HEAT INDEX
VALUES UP TO 108 DEGREES.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 130 AM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
STRONG UPPER RIDGING WILL START TO SETTLE OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL
TEXAS ON MONDAY BEGINNING A PROLONGED PERIOD OF HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS. EXPECT AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID 90S TO LOWER 100S
TODAY BENEATH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. A HEAT ADVISORY WILL GO INTO
EFFECT AT NOON TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS FOR
HEAT INDEX VALUES UP TO 108 DEGREES. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL STRUGGLE
TO FALL BELOW 80 DEGREES FOR SOME INSIDE THE METROPLEX MONDAY
NIGHT.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 AM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
AN ANOMALOUS 596-597 DAM MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL SETTLE OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON LAUNCHING TEMPERATURES UP
INTO THE 100-105 DEGREE RANGE ACROSS THE REGION BY MIDWEEK. A HEAT
ADVISORY WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND BEYOND
WITH A LOW CHANCE FOR AN EXTREME HEAT WARNING ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTH TEXAS AS WE GET FURTHER INTO THE WEEK AND HEAT INDEX VALUES
POTENTIALLY APPROACH 110+ DEGREES. RECORD HIGH OVERNIGHT LOWS MAY
BE EXPERIENCED DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH SOME PARTS OF
NORTH TEXAS FAILING TO FALL BELOW THE MID 80S. TAKE THE NECESSARY
STEPS TO KEEP YOU AND YOUR LOVED ONES SAFE FROM HEAT-RELATED
ILLNESS.
ONE CAVEAT TO THIS HOT FORECAST: WE WILL BE MONITORING CURRENT
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO IN THE EASTERN GULF OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. CURRENT GUIDANCE DOES STEER THIS TROPICAL SYSTEM TOWARD THE
SOUTHERN OR SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS COAST IN THE THURSDAY-FRIDAY
TIMEFRAME WHICH MAY BRING INCREASED MOISTURE, CLOUD COVER, AND
RAIN CHANCES TO PARTS OF CENTRAL TEXAS DURING THE LATTER HALF OF
THE WEEK. THE ULTIMATE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM REMAINS HIGHLY
UNCERTAIN AND WILL DETERMINE IF/WHERE WE MAY SEE GREATER RAIN
CHANCES AND SLIGHTLY LESS HOT TEMPERATURES. WE SHOULD START TO GET
A BETTER IDEA OF THE STORM TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 130 AM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 8-12 KTS. SCT TO BKN MVFR CIGS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL TEXAS ONCE AGAIN BUT SHOULD LARGELY REMAIN
SOUTH OF KACT (BRIEF ~1-2KFT CIGS MAY MOVE OVER THE TERMINAL
AFTER 12Z).
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 102 81 104 84 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 101 76 99 80 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 99 76 99 78 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 102 78 104 81 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 101 79 103 81 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 102 81 104 84 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 101 77 101 79 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 100 77 100 81 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 100 74 99 78 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 100 74 102 76 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
TXZ091>095-101>107-116>123-131>135-144>148-158>162-174-175.
SHORT TERM...LANGFELD
LONG TERM....LANGFELD
AVIATION...LANGFELD
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