799
FXUS64 KFWD 240558
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1258 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS
THROUGH 8 PM TONIGHT. HEAT INDEX VALUES UP TO AROUND 107
DEGREES ARE EXPECTED.
- ADDITIONAL HEAT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH THE WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1251 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026
THOUGH WINDS WILL RETURN OUT OF THE SOUTH LATER THIS MORNING,
INCREASED MOISTURE AND CLOUD COVER FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERTHA
WILL SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION TODAY. THIS INFLUX OF
MOISTURE MAY AID IN SOME SPOTTY SHOWERS THIS MORNING IN SOUTHERN
AND WESTERN CENTRAL TEXAS, BUT MOST WILL REMAIN DRY. THE CLOUD
COVER WILL HELP TO KEEP AMBIENT AIR TEMPERATURES A BIT MORE
MANAGEABLE IN THE MID- UPPER 90S. MODERATE HUMIDITY WILL KEEP
AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 97-107 DEGREES, WITH HIGHEST HEAT
INDEX VALUES EXPECTED MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS. HAVE
EXPANDED THE ALREADY ISSUED HEAT ADVISORY A ROW OF COUNTIES EAST,
NOW ENCOMPASSING FANNIN TO VAN ZANDT TO ACCOUNT FOR THE UP TO 106
DEGREE EXPECTED HEAT INDEX. THERE MAY BE A FEW SPOTS FURTHER SOUTH
IN CENTRAL TEXAS THAT APPROACH OR REACH CRITERIA, BUT IT WILL BE
MUCH MORE SPORADIC THAT FAR SOUTH THANKS TO THE CLOUD COVER AND
INFLUX OF TROPICAL MOISTURE. NONETHELESS, IT WILL STILL FEEL QUITE
HUMID AND HOT OUTSIDE, SO MAKE SURE TO STAY COOL AND HYDRATED
THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1251 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026
WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE REMAINING THE DOMINANT PLAYER IN OUR
REGIONAL WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD,
EXPECT HOT AND DRY WEATHER TO PERSIST THROUGH THIS WEEKEND INTO
THE FIRST HALF OF THIS NEXT WEEK. PERSISTING SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL
AID IN INCREASING DAILY HIGHS BACK INTO THE MID 90S TO AROUND 105
MONDAY ONWARD. CONTINUED MODERATE HUMIDITY WILL PUSH HEAT INDICES
UP TO BETWEEN 99 TO 110 DEGREES MOST AFTERNOONS, RESULTING IN
LIKELY CONTINUATIONS OF HEAT ADVISORIES IN PORTIONS OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS EACH DAY. EXACT CONFIGURATIONS WILL BE DECIDED UPON
A DAY BY DAY BASIS. WITH HOT AND HUMID WEATHER EXPECTED FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE, MAKE SURE TO CONTINUE TO STAY COOL AND
HYDRATED.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1251 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026
EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS, BUT
WILL GRADUALLY VEER MORE SOUTHEAST OVER THE EARLY MORNING AS WHAT
IS CURRENTLY TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERTHA ADVANCES FURTHER INTO
SOUTH TEXAS. MOISTURE FROM BERTHA WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT, RESULTING IN A SLUG OF MVFR STRATUS MOVING
OVERTOP THE AIRPORTS. EXPECT MVFR CIGS TO IMPACT ACT CLOSER TO
07Z, AND D10 AROUND 10Z. MVFR CIGS WILL LINGER THROUGH MUCH OF THE
MORNING BEFORE LIFTING AND SCATTERING BACK TO VFR AROUND 17Z.
EXPECT SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 11-13 KT TO PREVAIL THE REST OF THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AT ALL TAF SITES.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 97 80 99 81 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 95 77 97 78 / 10 0 0 0
PARIS 93 77 95 77 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 97 80 100 80 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 95 79 99 80 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 98 81 100 82 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 96 77 98 78 / 10 0 0 0
CORSICANA 96 77 98 78 / 10 0 0 0
TEMPLE 95 76 97 75 / 10 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 97 77 99 76 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ091>094-100>105-
116>123-131>134.
SHORT TERM...PRATER
LONG TERM....PRATER
AVIATION...PRATER
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