624
FXUS64 KFWD 241013
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
513 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS
THROUGH 8 PM TONIGHT. HEAT INDEX VALUES UP TO AROUND 107
DEGREES ARE EXPECTED.
- ADDITIONAL HEAT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH THE WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1251 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026
THOUGH WINDS WILL RETURN OUT OF THE SOUTH LATER THIS MORNING,
INCREASED MOISTURE AND CLOUD COVER FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERTHA
WILL SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION TODAY. THIS INFLUX OF
MOISTURE MAY AID IN SOME SPOTTY SHOWERS THIS MORNING IN SOUTHERN
AND WESTERN CENTRAL TEXAS, BUT MOST WILL REMAIN DRY. THE CLOUD
COVER WILL HELP TO KEEP AMBIENT AIR TEMPERATURES A BIT MORE
MANAGEABLE IN THE MID- UPPER 90S. MODERATE HUMIDITY WILL KEEP
AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 97-107 DEGREES, WITH HIGHEST HEAT
INDEX VALUES EXPECTED MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS. HAVE
EXPANDED THE ALREADY ISSUED HEAT ADVISORY A ROW OF COUNTIES EAST,
NOW ENCOMPASSING FANNIN TO VAN ZANDT TO ACCOUNT FOR THE UP TO 106
DEGREE EXPECTED HEAT INDEX. THERE MAY BE A FEW SPOTS FURTHER SOUTH
IN CENTRAL TEXAS THAT APPROACH OR REACH CRITERIA, BUT IT WILL BE
MUCH MORE SPORADIC THAT FAR SOUTH THANKS TO THE CLOUD COVER AND
INFLUX OF TROPICAL MOISTURE. NONETHELESS, IT WILL STILL FEEL QUITE
HUMID AND HOT OUTSIDE, SO MAKE SURE TO STAY COOL AND HYDRATED
THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1251 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026
WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE REMAINING THE DOMINANT PLAYER IN OUR
REGIONAL WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD,
EXPECT HOT AND DRY WEATHER TO PERSIST THROUGH THIS WEEKEND INTO
THE FIRST HALF OF THIS NEXT WEEK. PERSISTING SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL
AID IN INCREASING DAILY HIGHS BACK INTO THE MID 90S TO AROUND 105
MONDAY ONWARD. CONTINUED MODERATE HUMIDITY WILL PUSH HEAT INDICES
UP TO BETWEEN 99 TO 110 DEGREES MOST AFTERNOONS, RESULTING IN
LIKELY CONTINUATIONS OF HEAT ADVISORIES IN PORTIONS OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS EACH DAY. EXACT CONFIGURATIONS WILL BE DECIDED UPON
A DAY BY DAY BASIS. WITH HOT AND HUMID WEATHER EXPECTED FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE, MAKE SURE TO CONTINUE TO STAY COOL AND
HYDRATED.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 511 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026
MVFR CIGS HAVE SPREAD ACROSS ALL OF THE TAF SITES THIS MORNING,
AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THIS MORNING BEFORE
LIFTING/SCATTERING BACK TO VFR AROUND 17Z. EXPECT SOUTHEASTERLY
WINDS TO GRADUALLY VEER MORE OUT OF THE SOUTH BY THIS AFTERNOON.
EXPECT SPEEDS BETWEEN 11-13 KTS WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS THIS
AFTERNOON AT ALL TAF SITES. THERE IS LOW POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY WEST AND SOUTH OF THE D10 SITES.
HAVE KEPT ALL AIRPORTS DRY WITH THE 12Z ISSUANCE DUE TO LOW
PROBABILITIES FOR RAIN AND VERY SPOTTY EXPECTED COVERAGE. TONIGHT
INTO SATURDAY, EXPECT SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 11-13 KTS TO PREVAIL.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 98 81 101 81 / 10 0 0 0
WACO 96 77 97 77 / 10 0 0 0
PARIS 93 78 96 77 / 10 0 0 0
DENTON 98 80 101 80 / 10 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 96 79 99 80 / 10 0 0 0
DALLAS 99 81 100 81 / 10 0 0 0
TERRELL 97 78 99 77 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 97 77 98 77 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 96 75 97 75 / 10 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 97 77 100 76 / 10 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ091>094-100>105-
116>123-131>134.
SHORT TERM...PRATER
LONG TERM....PRATER
AVIATION...PRATER
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