806
FXUS64 KFWD 250536
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1236 AM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A HEAT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS
FROM 12 PM THROUGH 8 PM TODAY. HEAT INDEX VALUES UP TO 109
DEGREES ARE EXPECTED.
- ADDITIONAL HEAT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH NEXT WEEK, AS
TEMPERATURES AND HEAT INDICES INCREASE.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1228 AM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE REMAINING PLANTED OVER MUCH OF THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL CONUS THIS WEEKEND, EXPECT HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. SOUTHERLY
WINDS, SUBSIDENT AIR, AND SLIGHTLY CLEARER SKIES WILL PUSH
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 90S TO AROUND 101 TODAY,
A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY. MODEST HUMIDITY WILL KEEP
HEAT INDICES A FEW DEGREES HIGHER THAN AMBIENT AIR TEMPERATURE,
WITH AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 97 AND
109 DEGREES. THE HIGHEST HEAT INDICES CONTINUE TO BE MAINLY
CONFINED TO AREAS AROUND AND NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR, AND THE
CURRENT HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM FOR MUCH OF
NORTH TEXAS AND PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST CENTRAL TEXAS. OVERNIGHT,
EXPECT WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW
70S TO LOW 80S.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1228 AM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THE DOMINANT PLAYER IN OUR
REGIONAL WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH MUCH OF THIS UPCOMING WEEK.
THOUGH SMALL DISTURBANCES MAY TRANSIT AROUND THE RIDGE, ANY RAIN
THAT OCCURS FROM THOSE DISTURBANCES WILL UNFORTUNATELY REMAIN WELL
OUTSIDE OF THE FORECAST AREA. EXPECT AFTERNOON HIGHS TO INCREASE
HEADING INTO THE NEW WORK WEEK, REACHING INTO THE UPPER 90S TO
AROUND 104-105 BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. HUMIDITY WILL ALSO REMAIN
ELEVATED AS NO FRONTAL INTRUSION OR SLUG OF DRY AIR ARE EXPECTED,
AND WILL KEEP DAILY HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 100-110 DEGREES. ALL THIS
BEING SAID, ADDITIONAL HEAT ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED
DAILY THROUGH MIDWEEK IN PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. MAKE
SURE TO STAY COOL AND HYDRATED, AND TO AVOID EXCESS TIME OUTSIDE
DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY.
BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE SHOWS THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS DIGGING A BIT FURTHER
SOUTH, WHICH MAY SHUNT THE RIDGE BACK TO THE WEST OVER THE FIRST
WEEK OF AUGUST. THIS MAY HELP TO SHAVE A FEW DEGREES OFF OF
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES, BUT THIS IS TOO FAR OUT TO REALLY DIG INTO
AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1228 AM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 11-14 KT WILL CONTINUE AT ALL TAF SITES
OVER THE NEXT 24-30 HOURS. SOME LOW-MID LEVEL SCT-BKN CLOUDS ~5-7
KFT AND ~15 KFT WILL LIKELY MOVE OVER THE AIRPORTS AT TIMES THIS
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON, BUT CIGS WILL REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE
NEXT 30 HOURS.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 100 81 102 81 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 98 77 98 78 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 96 77 97 76 / 10 0 0 0
DENTON 101 79 102 79 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 99 80 100 79 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 100 81 102 81 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 99 77 99 77 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 98 77 99 78 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 97 75 98 76 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 100 75 101 75 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
TXZ091>095-100>107-116>123-131>135-146.
SHORT TERM...PRATER
LONG TERM....PRATER
AVIATION...PRATER
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