485
FXUS64 KFWD 272248
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
548 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH 8 PM TOMORROW FOR MOST
OF NORTH TEXAS AND EASTERN CENTRAL TEXAS WHERE HEAT INDEX
READINGS COULD REACH UP TO 109.
- HOT AND RAIN-FREE WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK WITH
LITTLE RELIEF IN SIGHT, AND ADDITIONAL HEAT ADVISORIES OR
POSSIBLY EXTREME HEAT WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1207 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2026
ANOTHER HOT, HUMID, AND DRY DAY ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS
THANKS TO A LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. TEMPERATURES ARE ALREADY IN THE LOW TO MID
90S AND SHOULD HEAT UP A COUPLE DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY'S
READINGS, WITH HIGHS REACHING 97-103. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW WITH THE UPPER RIDGE MOVING ONLY
SLIGHTLY WESTWARD, SO IN COORDINATION WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES,
WENT AHEAD AND EXTENDED THE HEAT ADVISORY FOR NORTH TEXAS AND
EASTERN CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH 8PM TUESDAY EVENING. ALSO ADDED IN
ROBERTSON COUNTY TO THE HEAT ADVISORY TO BETTER MATCH WITH HGX.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1207 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2026
LITTLE CHANGE IN THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN IS ANTICIPATED FOR
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS THE LARGE UPPER RIDGE REMAINS
ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND NEW MEXICO, AND EVEN
STRENGTHENS SOME INTO FRIDAY. THEREFORE, EXPECT CONTINUED HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 97-103 RANGE FOR WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY AND A
NUDGE UPWARD TO 98-104 ON FRIDAY. WE WILL LIKELY HAVE TO EXTEND
THE CURRENT HEAT ADVISORY THROUGH ALL THREE OF THESE DAYS, AND
POSSIBLY EXPAND IT TO ADDITIONAL COUNTIES IN CENTRAL TEXAS. AN
EXTREME HEAT WARNING MAY EVEN BE NEEDED FOR PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS
ON THURSDAY AND ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY AS HEAT INDEX READINGS PEAK
IN THE 110-115 RANGE. THIS APPEARS MORE LIKELY ON FRIDAY AS LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE POOLS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WEAK BACKDOOR COLD
FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE REGION ON FRIDAY NIGHT - SIMILAR TO WHAT
HAPPENED LAST WEEK.
OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, 12Z GUIDANCE CONTINUES THE
TREND OF SHIFTING THE UPPER RIDGE WESTWARD INTO
NEVADA/CALIFORNIA, WITH NORTHERLY FLOW SETTING UP ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS. THIS WILL ALLOW THE BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MENTIONED
ABOVE TO SHIFT SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION, AND SOME SLIGHTLY
"COOLER AIR" FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. DON'T GET TOO EXCITED THOUGH
AS HIGHS WILL ONLY DROP A FEW DEGREES INTO THE MID 90S TO LOW
100S. THE AIRMASS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE DRIER, HOWEVER, WITH
DEWPOINTS DROPPING INTO THE 60S AND EVEN THE 50S. THIS SHOULD HELP
BRIEFLY END OUR LONG STRING OF HEAT ADVISORIES. HOWEVER, GLOBAL
MODELS SHOW THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDING ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS NEXT WEEK, SO OUR TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY WILL
BE ON THE WAY UP AS WE MOVE FURTHER INTO THE FIRST WEEK OF AUGUST.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 548 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD WITH A PREVAILING SOUTHERLY WIND AROUND 8-12 KTS.
THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT AVIATION CONCERNS THROUGH THE NEXT 30
HOURS.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1207 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 81 102 81 102 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 77 100 78 100 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 77 99 77 98 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 79 102 79 102 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 79 102 79 100 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 82 103 82 102 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 77 101 78 100 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 77 100 78 100 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 75 99 76 99 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 76 103 76 100 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR TXZ091>095-100>107-
116>123-131>135-146>148-162.
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR TXZ175.
SHORT TERM...SHAMBURGER
LONG TERM....SHAMBURGER
AVIATION...12
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