331
FXUS64 KFWD 141740
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1240 PM CDT FRI AUG 14 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
EVENING WITH HOT AND DRY WEATHER EXPECTED INTO NEXT WEEK.
- LITTLE TO NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1208 PM CDT FRI AUG 14 2026
HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS WEEKEND WITH LITTLE
CHANCE FOR RAINFALL AND A CONTINUED THREAT FOR GRASS FIRES. THE
REST OF TODAY WILL FEATURE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING TO NEAR 100 DEGREES WITH BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS. THESE
WINDS WILL RELAX SOME LATER TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS RELAXES A BIT.
OTHERWISE, MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH SATURDAY WITH HIGHS AGAIN EXPECTED TO TOP
100 DEGREES IN MANY LOCATIONS. EVEN WITH DEEP VERTICAL MIXING
OCCURRING, DEWPOINTS WILL LIKELY STILL REMAIN ELEVATED ENOUGH TO
WARRANT ADDITIONAL HEAT ADVISORIES INTO THE WEEKEND.
DUNN
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1208 PM CDT FRI AUG 14 2026
LITTLE CHANGE IN THE FORECAST IS EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH A
598 DM RIDGE AXIS CENTERED DIRECTLY OVER NORTH TEXAS BY SUNDAY
SUPPORTING AN INCREASE IN HIGH TEMPERATURES. THIS RIDGE WILL
REMAIN PARKED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH NEXT WEEK KEEPING
LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE IN PLACE AND RAIN CHANCES NEAR ZERO. HIGHS
WILL LIKELY TOP 105 DEGREES IN SOME LOCATIONS BY MONDAY AND
TUESDAY REQUIRING ADDITIONAL HEAT HEADLINES. ALONG WITH THE HOT
AND DRY WEATHER WILL BE A CONTINUED THREAT FOR GRASS FIRE STARTS
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH NEXT WEEK. DESPITE SLIGHTLY LOWER WIND
SPEEDS, A PROLONGED PERIOD OF HOT AND DRY WEATHER IS SUPPORTING A
NOTABLE DROP IN LIVE FUEL MOISTURE. THESE CONDITIONS WILL FAVOR AN
ACTIVE PERIOD OF GRASS FIRE ACTIVITY WITH LITTLE RELIEF IN SITE
OVER THE NEXT WEEK.
DUNN
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 537 AM CDT FRI AUG 14 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE PERIOD.
SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 15KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25KT WILL CONTINUE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING BEFORE SLOWLY DECREASING OVERNIGHT. MVFR
CEILINGS AT KACT ARE A LOW (~20%) POSSIBILITY EARLY TOMORROW
MORNING, BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE MORE THAN SCT IN THE
CURRENT TAF.
FENSKE
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 81 101 81 102 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 77 101 75 100 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 78 99 78 101 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 79 100 78 102 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 78 100 78 101 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 81 101 81 103 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 77 102 77 101 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 77 100 75 100 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 76 100 73 100 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 75 101 75 103 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ091>095-102>107-
118>123-133>135-144>148-157>162-174-175.
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