233
FXUS64 KFWD 280530
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1230 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
...NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
KEY MESSAGES
- A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING.
- HOT TEMPERATURES AROUND 100 WITH LITTLE TO NO RAIN ARE EXPECTED
THIS WEEKEND INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1201 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
RADAR IMAGERY EARLY THIS MORNING SHOWS A FEW SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL TEXAS ALONG/AHEAD
OF A WEAK BOUNDARY STRETCHING FROM NEAR ABILENE TO COLLEGE
STATION. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO SHIFT SOUTHWARD OUT OF
THE FORECAST AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. OTHERWISE,
ANOTHER HOT LATE AUGUST DAY IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS, WITH LOWS THIS MORNING IN THE 70S TO AROUND 80 AND
HIGHS REACHING 97-103 THIS AFTERNOON UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
SOME CAMS INDICATE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM IS POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON, MAINLY IN CENTRAL TEXAS, BUT THE CHANCE APPEARS TOO LOW
TO INCLUDE ANYTHING ABOVE A 10% POP.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1201 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD LOOKS TO BE HOT AND DRY WITH LITTLE
POTENTIAL FOR ANY RAIN AS THE LARGE UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE THAT HAS DOMINATED OUR WEATHER SINCE MID-JULY SHIFTS BACK
OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. KEPT TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NBM GUIDANCE AS IT HAS BEEN UNDERDOING HIGHS A TAD PAST FEW DAYS.
A DRIER LOW LEVEL AIRMASS WILL KEEP HEAT INDEX VALUES BELOW OUR
HEAT ADVISORY THRESHOLDS TODAY AND TOMORROW, SO FOR THE FIRST TIME
IN QUITE A WHILE NO HEAT PRODUCTS ARE WARRANTED. HOWEVER, FROM
SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK OUR TEMPERATURES AND/OR HEAT INDICES LOOK
TO REACH NEAR OR ABOVE CRITERIA FOR AT LEAST PARTS OF THE AREA, SO
MORE HEAT ADVISORIES WILL PROBABLY BE NEEDED NEXT WEEK. 00Z
GUIDANCE DOES INDICATE A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE
GULF COAST MAY ENHANCE RAIN CHANCES FOR SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS
AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, BUT FOR NOW ANY NOTABLE RAIN LOOKS
TO STAY SOUTH OF US.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1201 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS TAF PERIOD WITH JUST A FEW MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS AND NO PRECIPITATION. EASTERLY WINDS LESS
THAN 10 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1201 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 101 78 102 79 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 100 75 100 76 / 10 0 0 0
PARIS 99 71 98 72 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 100 74 101 76 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 99 74 99 75 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 102 79 102 80 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 100 73 100 75 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 99 75 99 76 / 10 0 0 0
TEMPLE 99 74 100 75 / 10 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 101 71 102 73 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SHAMBURGER
LONG TERM....SHAMBURGER
AVIATION...SHAMBURGER
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