118
FXUS64 KFWD 061733
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1233 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND, WITH
COOL NIGHTS AND WARM AFTERNOONS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1233 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
PLEASANT, EARLY-FALL WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
DRY AIR AND LIGHT EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS REMAIN SETTLED OVER NORTH
AND CENTRAL TEXAS. EXPECT AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S
BENEATH SUNNY SKIES ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION BOTH TODAY AND
WEDNESDAY, INCHING TOWARD 90 DEGREES WEST OF HWY 281 WHERE
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RE-ESTABLISH ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
SURFACE RIDGE. CLEAR SKIES, LIGHT WINDS, AND DRY AIR WILL ALLOW
FOR TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S ONCE AGAIN BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS (NEAR-
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR).
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1233 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
SURFACE RIDGING WILL REMAIN EXTENDED FROM THE THE MIDWEST TOWARD
NORTH TEXAS, KEEPING LIGHT EAST-NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS OVER OUR
FORECAST AREA THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. THIS WILL
ALLOW FOR THOSE PLEASANT, SUNNY AFTERNOONS WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW
TO MID 80S TO CONTINUE INTO AT LEAST FRIDAY. A MORE EASTERLY
COMPONENT TO THE SURFACE WIND FIELD WILL DRAW SLIGHTLY GREATER
MOISTURE INTO NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS LATE FRIDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND, MOSTLY NOTICED BY WARMER OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
WE WILL BE MONITORING THE PHASING OF AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW WITH A
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE OVER THE GULF THIS WEEKEND WHICH COULD BRING
HIGHER PWATS AND LOW RAIN CHANCES TO PARTS OF EAST TEXAS LATE
SATURDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE BULK OF THIS RAINFALL WILL
REMAIN WELL EAST OF OUR FORECAST AREA NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY. IN FACT, THIS CIRCULATION COULD KEEP EAST-NORTHEASTERLY
SURFACE WINDS OVER OUR FORECAST AREA INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE
WEEKEND ALLOWING FOR ANOTHER MILD, PLEASANT DAY ON SATURDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S. MORE APPRECIABLE MOISTURE RETURN WILL
LIKELY HOLD OFF UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH ANY REAL RAIN CHANCES
HOLDING OFF UNTIL AT LEAST MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK AS BROAD TROUGHING
DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN CONUS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1233 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT EAST-NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE WINDS
GENERALLY BELOW 8 KT WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD AT ALL
NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS TERMINALS. WINDS WILL BECOME NEAR-CALM AND
VARIABLE AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 110 AM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 62 84 63 85 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 61 85 64 86 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 57 85 59 86 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 58 85 59 86 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 58 83 59 84 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 62 86 64 86 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 58 87 61 87 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 59 88 63 89 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 60 85 63 86 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 57 87 57 87 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...LANGFELD
LONG TERM....LANGFELD
AVIATION...LANGFELD
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