690
FXUS64 KFWD 171049
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
549 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- COOLER AND QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN LATE NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1149 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
COOLER AND MUCH DRIER AIR HAS SPREAD INTO NORTH TEXAS BEHIND
YESTERDAY'S COLD FRONT AND THIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AS A 1037 MB SURFACE HIGH SETTLES INTO THE MID SOUTH. STRONG NORTH
WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED LATE THIS EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
5-10 KT THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AS THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
SHIFTS TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY, A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND WILL RETURN,
BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN SPARSE WITH PW VALUES LESS THAN 1/2 INCH
WHICH IS AROUND THE 10TH PERCENTILE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. HIGHS
WILL TOP OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S TODAY AND RIGHT AROUND 70 ON
SUNDAY WHILE OVERNIGHT LOWS DIP INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOW 40S
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
DUNN
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1149 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
AFTER AN EXCEPTIONAL WEEKEND WEATHERWISE, WE'LL START THE NEW WEEK
OFF UNDER THE CONTINUED INFLUENCE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE,
ALTHOUGH THE CENTER OF THE ANTICYCLONE WILL BE DISPLACED WELL TO
OUR EAST. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL EJECT OUT OF THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST LATE MONDAY AND SPREAD SOME HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. MOISTURE SHOULD BE TOO LIMITED FOR ANY
PRECIPITATION. OTHERWISE, THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BECOME
SANDWICHED BETWEEN AN AMPLIFYING TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST AND A
TROUGH OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD. MID LEVEL RIDGING AND WEAK
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PROMOTE A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
MIDDLE AND LATTER PART OF THE WEEK WHEN TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE
BACK IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S BY THURSDAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK.
DUNN
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 530 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. A
LIGHT SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL RETURN LATE IN THE PERIOD FOR DFW. NO
SIGNIFICANT AVIATION CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED.
DUNN
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 66 49 71 51 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 68 46 71 48 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 68 44 70 45 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 65 43 70 46 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 66 44 70 47 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 68 48 72 50 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 68 46 71 47 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 68 47 71 49 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 69 46 73 48 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 63 40 69 45 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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