009
FXUS64 KFWD 190441
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1141 PM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEK, WITH STEADILY
WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1107 PM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
NORTH TEXAS WEATHER WILL REMAIN QUIET TO START THE WEEK WITH
INTERMITTENT PASSING HIGH CLOUD COVER EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THANKS
TO AN ABUNDANCE OF MOISTURE SPREADING IN FROM THE PACIFIC ACROSS
MEXICO. WHILE WE MAY SEE SOME LIGHT RADAR RETURNS THROUGH THE DAY,
A VERY DRY SUB CLOUD LAYER WILL EVAPORATE ANY PRECIPITATION LONG
BEFORE IT HITS THE GROUND. NORTH TEXAS WILL REMAIN ON THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A SPRAWLING HIGH PRESSURE CENTER OVER THE EASTERN
CONUS THROUGH TUESDAY WITH LIGHT EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE. VERY DRY AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ANTICYCLONE WILL KEEP
AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LOW AND ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO COOL APPRECIABLY
AFTER SUNSET. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT IN THE MID/UPPER 70S TODAY AND
IN THE LOWER 80S ON TUESDAY.
DUNN
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1107 PM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING WILL AMPLIFY OVER BOTH THE WESTERN CONUS AND
SOUTHEAST U.S. THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. DESPITE THE UPPER
PATTERN BEING FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE, RIDGING WILL BUILD THROUGH THE
PLAINS DURING THIS TIME. THIS WILL KEEP NORTH TEXAS WEATHER QUIET
AND PROMOTE A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL STEADILY CLIMB INTO THE MID/UPPER 80S WEDNESDAY
INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH LITTLE CHANCE FOR RAINFALL. THE WESTERN
TROUGH WILL DEAMPLIFY A BIT AND EJECT INTO THE PLAINS BY FRIDAY
WITH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDING SOUTHWARD. WITH THE UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT QUICKLY DEPARTING THE PLAINS, THIS FRONT IS UNLIKELY
TO MAKE IT INTO NORTH TEXAS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
GENERALLY STAY WELL REMOVED FROM THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY. AS
RIDGING BREAKS DOWN OVER THE WEEKEND WE MAY SEE SOME VERY LOW RAIN
CHANCES WORK INTO OUR NORTHWEST COUNTIES BY THE LATTER HALF OF THE
WEEKEND.
DUNN
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1107 PM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH CONTINUED INTERMITTENT
HIGH CLOUD COVER. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-10 KT ARE EXPECTED INTO MONDAY
NIGHT WITH NO SIGNIFICANT AVIATION CONCERNS.
DUNN
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 52 77 55 80 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 49 77 53 82 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 47 78 48 78 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 48 76 51 79 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 49 77 50 78 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 53 77 56 81 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 49 77 50 79 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 51 78 53 80 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 51 77 54 81 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 47 76 53 79 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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