060
FXUS64 KFWD 250618
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
118 AM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- QUIET WEATHER AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY THIS WEEK.
- A CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED BY LATE WEEK,
BRINGING SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND AT LEAST LOW RAIN
CHANCES BY NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 117 AM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TO END THE WEEKEND AND BEGIN THE
WORKWEEK AS AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS GRADUALLY BREAKS DOWN AND
RETREATS SOUTHEASTWARD. THIS SMALL PATTERN SHIFT WILL ALLOW FOR
INCREASED CLOUDINESS AS MID/HIGH CLOUD COVER SPILLS INTO THE
REGION FROM THE WEST DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS, AND WHEN COMBINED
WITH MODEST HEIGHT FALLS, WILL AID IN KNOCKING A FEW DEGREES OFF
OF HIGH TEMPERATURES THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. READINGS WILL WILL
REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THOUGH, MAINLY IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER
80S. MOISTURE CONTENT WILL ALSO BEGIN INCREASING THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM PERIOD AS SURFACE DEWPOINTS RETURN TO THE UPPER 50S AND 60S.
THIS WILL SUPPORT AN INCREASE IN MORNING STRATUS COVERAGE, AS
WELL AS PERHAPS SOME FOG IN PARTS OF CENTRAL TEXAS THIS MORNING
AND AGAIN ON MONDAY MORNING. RAIN CHANCES ARE NEGLIGIBLE THROUGH
THE SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 117 AM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES HAVE BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY TO
PERSIST THROUGH THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD AND EVEN INTO NEXT
WEEKEND. LATE-WEEK RAIN CHANCES HAVE ALSO BEGUN TO DECREASE AS A
RESULT OF THE EXPECTED EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER RIDGE BREAKDOWN AND
NORTHWARD DISPLACEMENT OF THE UPPER JET STREAK. AS A RESULT, OUR
LOW RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE WORKWEEK WILL CONSIST PRIMARILY OF
RAIN SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH MODEST LOW-LEVEL WARM/MOIST
ADVECTION, SOME OF WHICH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF
OF THE CWA AS EARLY AS TUESDAY. MORE MEANINGFUL RAIN CHANCES WILL
LIKELY BE DELAYED UNTIL THE FRIDAY-SUNDAY PERIOD WHEN A MORE
PRONOUNCED SUBTROPICAL JET IS EXPECTED TO NOSE INTO THE AREA
COINCIDENT WITH A COMPACT MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE. DAYS 6-9 STILL
APPEAR TO POSSESS THE GREATEST RAIN CHANCES, BUT THESE CHANCES ARE
STILL FAR FROM CERTAIN AND POPS OF MORE THAN ABOUT 30-40% ARE NOT
WARRANTED AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 117 AM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
VFR WILL PREVAIL WITH INCREASING HIGH CLOUD COVER ARRIVING FROM
THE WEST TODAY. SOME LOW STRATUS AND FOG MAY ALSO BE PRESENT IN
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH THIS MORNING, BUT ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN SOUTH OF KACT. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 5-10 KTS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 84 62 81 59 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 85 59 81 54 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 86 56 81 54 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 83 59 81 57 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 84 59 81 56 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 84 62 83 60 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 85 58 82 55 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 83 58 81 56 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 85 60 83 55 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 82 60 81 56 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...STALLEY
LONG TERM....STALLEY
AVIATION...STALLEY
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