749
FXUS63 KGLD 201724
AFDGLD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1024 AM MST WED NOV 20 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH OR SO ARE FORECAST
TODAY GENERALLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 27.
- A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS FORECAST THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
WITH COOLING TEMPERATURES EACH DAY SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 200 AM MST WED NOV 20 2024
TODAY-TONIGHT...NORTHWEST WINDS REMAIN IN THE BREEZY TO WINDY
CATEGORY FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON GENERALLY EAST OF
HIGHWAY 27 WHILE TO THE WEST, NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH SLOWLY
DECREASE WHILE BACKING TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN IN THE 30S OVER SNOW COVERED ACROSS IN FAR EASTERN
COLORADO WITH 40S TO LOWER 50S ELSEWHERE. LOW TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 20S.
THURSDAY-THURSDAY NIGHT...BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXPANDS ACROSS
THE AREA AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF COAST OF THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST. NAM/GFS 850MB TEMPERATURES RISE ANOTHER 4F TO 7F COMPARED
TO TODAY (WEDNESDAY) AND ARE RIGHT IN LINE WITH THE BETTER
PERFORMING TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE TO PRODUCE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
50S. THE EXCEPTION WILL CONTINUE TO BE OVER SNOW COVERED AREAS WHERE
HIGHS SHOULD BE IN THE 40S. LOW TEMPERATURES ARE AGAIN FORECAST TO
BE IN THE 20S.
FRIDAY-FRIDAY NIGHT...WE REMAIN UNDER BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGING.
HIGH TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE 50S TO LOWER 60S WITH LOW
TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 132 AM MST WED NOV 20 2024
ZONAL FLOW OVER THE WEEKEND WILL RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS AND
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER
50S TO MIDDLE 60S AND HIGHS ON SUNDAY IN THE 50S WITH A WEAK
COLD FRONT. EARLY NEXT WEEK, ZONAL FLOW CONTINUES ON MONDAY WITH
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE DAY. HIGHS
WILL BE IN THE 40S. MAY SEE PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN AS
EARLY AS MONDAY NIGHT WITH A WEAK, SHEARED-OUT WAVE COMING OUT
OF THE ROCKIES AND LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE COMBINING FOR A CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW CHANCES MAY INCREASE BY TUESDAY WITH A
SHORTWAVE POTENTIALLY DIGGING INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. MODELS NOT IN PARTICULARLY GOOD AGREEMENT
AT THE MOMENT SO CONFIDENCE IS LOW. TEMPERATURES CONTINUE BELOW
NORMAL THROUGH MID WEEK WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 40S AND LOWS
IN THE TEENS AND 20S.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1021 AM MST WED NOV 20 2024
VFR CONDITIONS REMAIN FORECASTED FOR EACH TERMINAL FOR THIS TAF
PERIOD. GUSTY WINDS WILL PERSIST AT KMCK THROUGH THE DAY
GUSTING AROUND 35 KNOTS; NOT AS WINDY FOR KGLD DUE TO LESS
INFLUENCE FROM A SURFACE LOW. WINDS WILL WANE AS THE NOCTURNAL
INVERSION SETS IN THIS EVENING. AT THIS TIME THINKING THAT LLWS
WON'T BE AN ISSUE THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE TO EAST.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...TRIGG
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