756
FXUS63 KGLD 182030
AFDGLD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
130 PM MST WED DEC 18 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- BRIEF COOL DOWN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY EAST OF HIGHWAY 25 WITH A
COLD FRONT, BUT STILL ONLY SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.
- DRY CONDITIONS AND GENERALLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- VERY LOW POTENTIAL OF PRECIPITATION STARTING AROUND THE MIDDLE
PART OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 130 PM MST WED DEC 18 2024
UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL MOVE FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TO START
THE PERIOD TO THE ROCKIES BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. SHORTWAVE TROUGH RIDING DOWN THE
RIDGE TONIGHT WILL FORCE THROUGH A PREFRONTAL TROUGH AND WIND
SHIFT OVERNIGHT. ASSOCIATED JET MAX ALOFT NOT EXPECTED TO MIX TO
THE SURFACE, BUT STILL CAN'T RULE OUT A ROGUE GUST OR TWO. LOWS
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 20S. THURSDAY WILL SEE NORTHWEST WINDS AND
TEMPERATURES REACHING THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SHORTWAVE CONTINUES
INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND DRAGS A COLD FRONT THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT. A BRIEF COOL DOWN WILL
FOLLOW FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, MAINLY IMPACTING TEMPERATURES IN
EASTERN AREAS. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 30S/40S EAST OF HIGHWAY 25,
WITH 50S/LOW 60S FURTHER WEST INTO COLORADO, AND LOWS IN THE
TEENS TO THE EAST AND 20S TO THE WEST. COLD AIR LIFTS OUT LATE
SATURDAY.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 130 PM MST WED DEC 18 2024
UPPER PATTERN BECOMES MORE PROGRESSIVE NEXT WEEK WITH A SERIES
OF PACIFIC SHORTWAVES MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
CONUS. FIRST SYSTEM EARLY IN THE PERIOD WILL BE TOO FAR NORTH
TO BRING PRECIPITATION CHANCES. SO, LOOKING FOR MORE OF THE SAME
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 50S AND LOWS
IN THE 20S. SECOND SYSTEM FOR LATE IN THE PERIOD DOES TRACK
FURTHER SOUTH AND MAY PROVIDE AT LEAST SOME PRECIPITATION
CHANCES BEGINNING CHRISTMAS DAY AND INTO THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES
ARE VERY MARGINAL DURING THE DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S, SO EVEN
IF PRECIPITATION DEVELOPS IT WOULD PROBABLY BE LIGHT RAIN, THEN
CHANGING TO LIGHT SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS TEMPERATURES COOL.
ECMWF REMAINS MOST AGGRESSIVE WITH SNOW AMOUNTS SHOWING A FEW
INCHES POSSIBLE, WHILE THE GFS ONLY SHOWING AN ISOLATED INCH OR
SO.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1004 AM MST WED DEC 18 2024
VFR EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT BOTH KGLD AND KMCK THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE GUSTY FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT
WITH THE PASSAGE OF A SURFACE TROUGH. STRONGER WINDS ALOFT WILL
RESULT IN LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...024
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