238
FXUS63 KGLD 200926
AFDGLD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
226 AM MST FRI DEC 20 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- BRIEF COOL DOWN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY EAST OF HIGHWAY 25 WITH A
COLD FRONT, BUT STILL ONLY SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.
- DRY CONDITIONS AND GENERALLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- LOW CHANCE (30%) OF PRECIPITATION AROUND CHRISTMAS.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 140 PM MST THU DEC 19 2024
COLD FRONT LOCATED IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA THIS AFTERNOON WILL SLIDE
SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS, UP TO 40 KTS IN EASTERN AREAS FROM MCCOOK TO
NORTON, WILL CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT SUNSET BEFORE DIMINISHING.
LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TEENS IN EASTERN AREAS
TO THE LOWER 20S IN COLORADO. AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN
CONUS WILL PREVAIL FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH CONTINUED DRY
CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE IN EASTERN AREAS WITH
HIGHS IN THE 30S ON FRIDAY AND UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ON
SATURDAY, WHILE WESTERN AREAS REMAIN MILD WITH HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 40S ON FRIDAY AND UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S ON SATURDAY. LOWS
WILL BE IN THE TEENS AND 20S.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 223 AM MST FRI DEC 20 2024
LITTLE CHANGE IN THE FORECAST FOR CHRISTMAS WEEK. THE UPPER PATTERN
REMAINS FORECAST TO START ZONAL, AND THEN SEE MULTIPLE TROUGHS MOVE
IN FROM THE WEST WITH MORE PERSISTENT TROUGHING FORECAST FOR THE END
OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL GENERALLY KEEP TEMPERATURES AROUND AVERAGE
WITH HIGHS BETWEEN THE 30'S AND 50'S WHILE LOWS ARE FORECAST TO BE
IN THE 20'S. WHILE FORECAST 850MB TEMPERATURES COULD SUPPORT SOME
HIGHS NEAR 60 (ESPECIALLY TO START THE WEEK), WAVES OF CLOUD COVER
MOVING IN WITH THE UPPER WAVES ARE FORECAST TO HELP KEEP
TEMPERATURES A BIT COOLER DURING THE DAY, AND A BIT WARMER AT NIGHT.
FOR MON/TUES, NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AS MOISTURE IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN ELEVATED (GENERALLY 700MB AND HIGHER) WITH MOISTURE MOVING
OVER THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE WEST.
LATER CHRISTMAS DAY AND INTO THURSDAY, LOW CHANCES FOR LIGHT
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS REMAIN FORECAST AND LOOK A BIT BETTER AS THE
TROUGH AT MID-WEEK IS FAVORED TO TAKE A BIT MORE OF A SOUTHERLY
TRACK. THIS WOULD KEEP THE SURFACE LOW JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA
AND ALLOW SOME LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE TO MOVE IN FROM THE
SOUTHEAST. IF ENOUGH MOISTURE MOVED IN AND THE TROUGH DIDN'T DIG
TOO FAR SOUTH AND TAKE THE FORCING OUT OF THE AREA, SOME
SHOWERS COULD FORM EITHER CHRISTMAS DAY OR THE DAY AFTER.
PRECIPITATION WOULD BE RAIN DURING THE DAY AND SNOW AT NIGHT
WITH NO SUGGESTION OF A STRONG COLD AIR MASS MOVING IN AND
KEEPING PRECIPITATION AS SNOW. CURRENT ENSEMBLES KEEP QPF
GENERALLY BELOW A TENTH OF AN INCH WITH MOST STILL SHOWING NO
QPF. SO EVEN IF PRECIPITATION DID FALL (30% CHANCE), IT WOULD
LIKELY BE JUST ENOUGH TO WET THE GROUND OR GIVE A TRACE OF SNOW.
WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME A HAZARD WITH
GENERALLY WEAK HEIGHT GRADIENTS AND THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS
FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH FAIRLY QUICKLY AND WITHOUT DEEPENING
TOO MUCH.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 930 PM MST THU DEC 19 2024
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE
FAIRLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE NIGHT, BECOMING SOUTH-
SOUTHEASTERLY TOMORROW AROUND 14-18Z AND SPEEDING UP TO AROUND
15 KTS AT KMCK AND GUSTING TO ABOUT 22 KTS KGLD. WINDS WILL
BEGIN WEAKENING AROUND 23-4Z.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...KAK
AVIATION...CA
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