185
FXUS63 KGLD 212124
AFDGLD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
224 PM MST FRI FEB 21 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST WELL AFTER SNOW HAS
ENDED. PORTIONS OF THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR FROM FLAGLER,
COLORADO EAST TO COLBY, KANSAS RECEIVED AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6
INCHES OF SNOW THIS MORNING (FRIDAY FEBRUARY 21). MANY ROADS
ARE SNOW COVERED. ANY SNOW THAT MELTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL
RAPIDLY FREEZE INTO BLACK ICE AFTER SUNSET.
- MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES RETURN THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT
WEEK, WARMEST ON MONDAY WHEN HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH THE MID 60'S TO NEAR 70F.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 215 PM MST FRI FEB 21 2025
OVERVIEW: A SUBSIDENT SYNOPTIC REGIME.. CHARACTERIZED BY
SHORTWAVE RIDGING ALOFT AND WEAK TROPOSPHERIC FLOW.. WILL
PREVAIL IN THIS PERIOD. A COMPACT UPPER LOW SITUATED OVER
WESTERN KS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD TO MO
TONIGHT. ANOTHER COMPACT UPPER LOW, SITUATED IN VICINITY OF THE
NV-UT BORDER THIS AFTERNOON, WILL DIG SSE INTO SOUTHERN AZ
(TONIGHT) AND PROGRESS EAST ACROSS NM (SAT) AND THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS (SAT NIGHT).
TONIGHT: CLEAR SKIES AND A SNOWPACK WILL FOSTER STRONG
RADIATIONAL COOLING, THOUGH.. LIGHT SSW TO W WINDS MAY PREVENT
FULL/MAXIMUM RADIATIONAL COOLING FROM BEING ACHIEVED. EXPECT
LOWS RANGING FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS TO MID TEENS.
SAT-SAT NIGHT: EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS AND A WARMING TREND. WITH
WEAK LOW-MID LEVEL FLOW (LITTLE OR NO ADVECTION) AND A SNOWPACK
(OF VARIED DEPTH) OVER THE REGION.. AIRMASS MODIFICATION WILL
PRIMARILY BE ACCOMPLISHED VIA INSOLATION/DIURNAL HEATING. EXPECT
HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOWER-MID 40S TO MID 50S.. COOLEST WHERE
DEEP SNOW COVER IS PRESENT.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 215 PM MST FRI FEB 21 2025
LONG RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A SUBSIDENT SYNOPTIC REGIME
WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE EXTENDED PERIOD, INITIALLY IN THE
FORM OF MODEST RIDGING OVER THE 4-CORNERS, CENTRAL ROCKIES AND
ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS (SUN-TUE).. FOLLOWED BY A TRANSITION TO NW-
NNW FLOW ALOFT (WED-THU) AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AMPLIFIES ALONG
THE PACIFIC NORTH AMERICAN COAST AND AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
AMPLIFIES OVER EASTERN NORTH AMERICA.
EXPECT A WARMING TREND TO PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH WELL
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES LIKELY ON BOTH MON-TUE. A COOLING
TREND (NEAR AVERAGE TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES)
WILL FOLLOW, ON WED, AND PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK.. ALONG WITH EPISODIC BREEZY NW-N WINDS IN THE WAKE OF A
SUCCESSION OF SMALL AMPLITUDE WAVES PROGRESSING SOUTHEASTWARD
FROM WESTERN CANADA THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MS
RIVER VALLEY.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 215 PM MST FRI FEB 21 2025
GLD: VFR CONDITIONS WILL RULE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. 5-10 KNOT
SSW WINDS WILL VEER TO THE WSW OR W OVERNIGHT AND PERSIST
THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY.
MCK: VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT (5-10 KNOT) SSW OR VARIABLE WINDS
WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 305 AM MST FRI FEB 21 2025
RECORD DAILY LOW TEMPERATURES:
FEB 21
GOODLAND..........-5F (1953)
HILL CITY.........-8F (1978)
MCCOOK............-7F (1911)
BURLINGTON........-8F (2018)
RECORD DAILY LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES:
GOODLAND...........19F (1971)
HILL CITY..........18F (1968)
MCCOOK.............20F (2013)
BURLINGTON.........16F (1913)
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
SHORT TERM...VINCENT
LONG TERM...VINCENT
AVIATION...VINCENT
CLIMATE...99
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