890
FXUS63 KGLD 042042
AFDGLD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
142 PM MST TUE NOV 4 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEK. NEAR RECORD TO RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES AGAIN POSSIBLE
TODAY.
- NO OBVIOUS SIGNALS FOR PRECIPITATION FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 139 PM MST TUE NOV 4 2025
THE TRI-STATE AREA IS WARMING UP NICELY TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW
TO MID 70S FOR THOSE PRIMARILY WEST OF KANSAS HIGHWAY 25 AND IN THE
LOW TO UPPER 60S EAST OF HWY 25. THE COOLEST TEMPERATURES ARE
OCCURRING MAINLY SOUTH OF A CHEYENNE WELLS TO COLBY TO NORTON
LINE WHERE HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS. SO FAR, TEMPERATURES REMAIN ON TRACK TO REACH THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 80S. CONFIDENCE HAS DECREASED SLIGHTLY TO 20% THAT
WE WILL SEE ANY WIND GUSTS OF 25-30 KTS IN OUR NORTHERN ROW OF
COUNTIES GIVEN ANOTHER BAND OF CLOUD COVER MOVING OVER THE AREA
FROM ALONG THE DENVER TO COLORADO SPRINGS CORRIDOR OF I-25
LIMITING THE ABILITY FOR THE MID-LAYER WINDS TO MIX DOWN.
A COLD FRONT REMAINS ON TRACK TO MOVE ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA
DURING THE LATE EVENING TO OVERNIGHT HOURS (9 PM-3 AM MT/10 PM-4
AM CT). THIS FRONT WILL BRING IN NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY
WINDS TOMORROW AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT
ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE LOW 30S TO LOW 40S. IF THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH A LITTLE QUICKER, WE COULD SEE MORE WIDESPREAD 30S
ACROSS THE AREA. THROUGHOUT THE DAY TOMORROW, WINDS SHOULD
REMAIN SOMEWHAT LIGHT AROUND 10-15 MPH UNTIL THE LATE AFTERNOON
TO EVENING HOURS WHEN EAST-CENTRAL COLORADO COULD SEE AN
INCREASE TO 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD ONCE AGAIN WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO LOW 60S WEDNESDAY AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S
ACROSS THE AREA.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 139 PM MST TUE NOV 4 2025
NOT MUCH HAS CHANGED WITH THE LONG TERM FORECAST. ON THURSDAY,
A LEE TROUGH IN THE 700-850 MB LAYER WILL EXPAND ACROSS THE TRI-
STATE AREA BENEATH A NEARLY ZONAL UPPER LEVEL FLOW WHILE AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER. BY FRIDAY THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS SHOULD MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE UPPER
MIDWEST WHILE THE LEE SIDE TROUGH DEVELOPS A NEAR-SURFACE LOW
THAT TRACKS INTO OKLAHOMA. A COLD FRONT WILL ALSO SWEEP ACROSS
THE AREA LATE FRIDAY/EARLY SATURDAY ACCORDING TO THE LATEST
GUIDANCE. MOVING INTO THE WEEKEND, THE TRI- STATE AREA WILL BE
UNDER A NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW WITH SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES
MOVING ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME PROGRESSIVELY
COLDER THURSDAY TO SUNDAY STARTING OUT IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER
70S AND FALLING TO THE 40S BY SUNDAY. MONDAY AND TUESDAY SHOULD WARM
BACK UP WITH HIGHS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S
MONDAY AND THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S NEXT TUESDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS
SHOULD BE IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S THURSDAY AND FRIDAY BEFORE FALLING
INTO 20S OVER THE WEEKEND. EARLY NEXT WEEK, WE SHOULD SEE OVERNIGHT
LOWS RETURN TO THE 30S ACROSS THE AREA.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1015 AM MST TUE NOV 4 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE KGLD AND KMCK TERMINALS
THROUGH THE 18Z TAF PERIOD. WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING
HOURS TODAY WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS ~5-10 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 15
KTS. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SWEEP SOUTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS THIS EVENING BETWEEN 03-09Z. AFTER THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME NORTHERLY OVER THE
TERMINALS BY 08-10Z AND NORTHEASTERLY WITH SPEEDS REMAINING
AROUND 10 KTS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 410 PM MST SUN NOV 2 2025
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY BE IN JEOPARDY ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE AREA ON TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 4TH. RECORD HIGHS AND CURRENT
FORECAST HIGHS FOR THE DATE ARE LISTED BELOW (IN FAHRENHEIT).
GOODLAND: 83 IN 2020... CURRENT FORECAST 79
BURLINGTON: 84 IN 2020... CURRENT FORECAST 77
MCCOOK: 84 IN 2020... CURRENT FORECAST 77
HILL CITY: 79 IN 2020... CURRENT FORECAST 77
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
SHORT TERM...KMK
LONG TERM...KMK
AVIATION...KMK
CLIMATE...TRIGG
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