198
FXUS63 KGLD 062032
AFDGLD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
132 PM MST THU NOV 6 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY.
- ON SATURDAY, STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS
TRAVEL CONDITIONS FOR HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES, ESPECIALLY ON
EAST-TO-WEST ROUTES, SUCH AS INTERSTATE 70, WHERE CROSS WINDS
WILL BE STRONGEST. SOME PATCHES OF BLOWING DUST ARE POSSIBLE.
- CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION REMAIN BELOW 10% FOR MUCH OF THE
NEXT 7 DAYS.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 130 PM MST THU NOV 6 2025
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON, TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE
IN THE 70S WITH SUNSHINE FOR MOST OF THE AREA. LOCALES NORTH OF I-70
IN NW KANSAS AND SW NEBRASKA MAY BE A BIT COOLER AS SOME CLOUD COVER
TRIES TO LINGER. THERE COULD ALSO BE A FEW SPRINKLES AS THE MID-
LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY PUSH EAST.
TONIGHT, HIGHER PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR THE AREA FROM THE
WEST, BUT MAYBE NOT QUITE INTO THE AREA. WITH THIS, WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO REMAIN AROUND 10-15 MPH FOR MOST OF THE AREA. AS LONG AS
THE WINDS REMAIN UP, TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 40S AND UPPER
30S. LOWER 30S ARE POSSIBLE FOR THOSE WHO SEE THE WINDS LIGHTEN
OVERNIGHT, FAVORING EASTERN COLORADO WHERE THE CENTER OF THE HIGH
MIGHT BE ABLE TO MOVE OVER.
FRIDAY, THE AREA SHOULD BE INBETWEEN SYSTEMS WITH NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT. LOWER PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BUILD IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS
WHILE THE HIGHER PRESSURE SHIFT SOUTH. THIS SHOULD WEAKEN THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT AND ALLOW FOR WINDS TO LIGHTEN TO AROUND 5-15 MPH
WHILE SHIFTING FROM OUT OF THE NORTH TO OUT OF THE SOUTH.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD GENERALLY WARM INTO THE 60S WITH 850MB TEMPS
AROUND 12-15C. THAT BEING SAID, SOME 70S ARE POSSIBLE IF THE HIGH
CLOUD COVER ISN'T TOO THICK.
FRIDAY NIGHT, ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA AS THE UPPER TROUGH DIVES SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS. THIS WILL
CAUSE WINDS TO PICK UP AND SHIFT TO OUT OF THE NORTHWEST/NORTH. WITH
THE PRE-FRONTAL WARMING AND INCREASING WINDS, TEMPERATURES MAY STAY
IN THE UPPER 30S AND 40S FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT. PRECIPITATION LOOKS
TO BE UNLIKELY SHORT OF MAYBE A FEW SPRINKLES AS THE NEAR SURFACE IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN SEMI-DRY WHILE THE BETTER MOISTURE IS OFF TO THE
EAST.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 130 PM MST THU NOV 6 2025
SATURDAY IS FORECAST TO BE AN ACTIVE DAY AS THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH
AXIS SWINGS THROUGH THE PLAINS. WHILE THE FRONT SHOULD BE THROUGH
THE AREA DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS, A SECONDARY SURGE IS
FORECAST AS THE COLDER AIR MASS AND HIGHER SURFACE PRESSURE MOVE
NEAR THE AREA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THIS IS
FORECAST TO LEAD TO A TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND ALLOW FOR
WINDS SPEEDS AROUND 20-35 MPH. IN THE LOWEST FEW HUNDRED
MILLIBARS, THE HEIGHT GRADIENT IS ALSO FORECAST TO TIGHTEN OVER
THE AREA WITH THE CENTER OF THE UPPER TROUGH CLOSER TO IA/MO.
SPEEDS OF 40-50 KTS ARE FORECAST, WHICH SHOULD MIX DOWN AND
ALLOW FOR WIND GUSTS OF 40- 60 MPH, ESPECIALLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. SIMILAR TO RECENT EVENTS, THE PROBABILITIES AND
SPREAD IN GUIDANCE SUGGEST THAT WIND GUSTS SHOULD GENERALLY BE
BELOW 58 MPH WITH A FEW ISOLATED INSTANCES TO AROUND 60 MPH.
BLOWING DUST IS A CONCERN WITH THE WIND SPEEDS FORECAST.
HOWEVER, WITH THE FRONT THROUGH EARLY AND SKIES CLEAR, THE
DAYTIME HEATING THAT SHOULD ALLOW THE STRONGER WIND GUSTS TO
MIX DOWN SHOULD ALSO MIX THE BLOWING DUST OUT. HENCEFORTH, THE
FORECAST IS CURRENTLY FOR HAZY SKIES AND MAYBE AN INSTANCE OR
TWO OF VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS NEAR SOURCE REGIONS. THERE COULD BE
SOME BRIEFLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR COUNTIES
ALONG THE COLORADO BORDER AS RH DROPS INTO THE TEENS, BUT THE
LOWERED TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S SHOULD HELP KEEP RH ABOVE 15%.
STILL, PROBABLY NOT A GOOD DAY TO BURN OR HAVE ANY SMOLDERING
BURN PILE.
FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT WEEK, SEASONABLE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST AS THE
AREA SHOULD EITHER BE UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW OR SLIGHT RIDGING ALOFT.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE IN THE 60S AND 70S WITH WINDS AROUND 10-15
MPH AND GUSTS OF 15-25 MPH. WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRYING TO MOVE THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AS IT COULD
LEAD TO SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS, ALBEIT NOTHING LIKE SATURDAY. NO
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST AS THE DRY AIR REMAINS FORECAST TO PREVAIL
OVER THE AREA.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1018 AM MST THU NOV 6 2025
FOR KGLD & KMCK... VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST AT BOTH
TERMINALS. HIGHER LEVEL CLOUD COVER ABOVE 10000FT IS FORECAST
FOR THIS AFTERNOON, ALONG WITH A SMALL CHANCE FOR SPRINKLES.
AFTER THAT, SKIES SHOULD CLEAR FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN FROM THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH SPEEDS AROUND 10-15 KTS. SOME GUSTS AROUND 20-25 KTS
ARE POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IF EITHER TERMINAL SEES MORE SUNSHINE
AND MIXING. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS
THE JET DEVELOPS AGAIN AT A FEW HUNDRED FEET WITH SPEEDS AROUND
40-45 KTS. HOWEVER, IT SHOULD BE SHORTER LIVED AS AN 850MB HIGH
MOVES IN LATE IN THE NIGHT AND WEAKENS THE FLOW.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
SHORT TERM...KAK
LONG TERM...KAK
AVIATION...KAK
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