565
FXUS63 KGLD 171737
AFDGLD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1137 AM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT SUNDAY AND MONDAY NEARING THE TRIPLE DIGITS.
- STORM CHANCES MAY RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS WELL AS SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 1136 AM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026
THE REMAINDER OF THE DAYTIME HOURS ARE FORECAST TO SEE HIGHS AROUND
THE MID 90S AND WINDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH AS WE REMAIN
UNDER AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. THERE IS STILL ENOUGH LOW TO MID LEVEL
MOISTURE THAT CUMULUS CLOUDS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING, LIKELY LEADING TO
A MIX OF CLOUDS AND CLEAR SKIES.
TONIGHT, WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME LIGHT AS SURFACE PRESSURE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE PLAINS IS FORECAST TO BE NEARLY THE SAME. WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES, TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO COOL TO NEAR
DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S (WEST) TO MID 60S (EAST).
SATURDAY, WHILE THE UPPER RIDGE IS FORECAST TO AMPLIFY A BIT MORE,
THE OVERALL PATTERN IS NOT FORECAST TO BE MUCH DIFFERENT FROM TODAY.
WITH THIS, A NEAR RINSE AND REPEAT OF FRIDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID
90S AND WINDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH IS FORECAST. SOME
SCATTERED LATE MORNING TO AFTERNOON CLOUDS ARE ALSO LIKELY AGAIN AS
TEMPERATURES HEAT UP.
SATURDAY NIGHT, THE BROKEN RECORD CONTINUES WITH A REPEAT OF
TONIGHT. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES, TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S, AND LIGHT
WINDS ARE FORECAST.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 231 PM MDT THU JUL 16 2026
FOR THE WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY, THE UPPER RIDGE IS FORECAST TO
AMPLIFY INTO THE NORTHERN UNITED STATES AND SOUTHERN CANADA. WITH
THIS, TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE WARMER WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE
MID 90S TO LOWER 100S. WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE SURFACE MOISTURE,
THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY FOR HEAT INDICES TO REACH THE LOW TO
MAYBE MID 100S. THIS WOULD LIKELY FAVOR EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA. WITH SKIES LIKELY CLEAR DUE TO THE UPPER RIDGE AND LIGHT
WINDS, IT MAY FEEL QUITE WARM ACROSS THE AREA.
FOR THE MID PART OF THE WEEK (TUE-THU), AN UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST
TO BEGIN DEAMPLIFYING THE RIDGE AS IT SLIDES SOUTHEAST TOWARDS THE
OHIO RIVER VALLEY. AS IT PUSHES THROUGH, A COLD FRONT SHOULD COME
THROUGH AND LOWER TEMPERATURES A BIT CLOSER TO THE LOW TO MID 90S.
THIS COULD ALSO ALLOW FOR SOME STORMS TO DEVELOP LATE MONDAY AND
TUESDAY, DEPENDING ON WHEN THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH. RIGHT NOW, IT
LOOKS UNLIKELY TO BE SEVERE WITH LOW INSTABILITY AND THE NEARBY
INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER RIDGE. THE MAIN UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS TIME
PERIOD IS HOW FAR SOUTH AND WEST THE UPPER TROUGH WILL DIG IN.
SHOULD IT DIG IN CLOSER TO THE AREA THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST,
TEMPERATURES COULD BE IN THE 80S AND WE MAY SEE SLIGHTLY HIGHER
CHANCES FOR STORMS.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1105 AM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026
FOR KGLD & KMCK... VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN ROUGHLY FROM
THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS AROUND 10 KTS. AFTER
03-06Z, WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME EITHER CALM OR LIGHT AND
VARIABLE, LIKELY THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
SHORT TERM...KAK
LONG TERM...KAK
AVIATION...KAK
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