550
FXUS63 KGLD 180847
AFDGLD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
247 AM MDT SUN OCT 18 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES WARMING TO NEAR AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 1200 AM MDT SUN OCT 18 2026
THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL BE BETWEEN AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER
MEXICO AND A DEEPENING LOW APPROACHING SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA,
RESULTING IN SOUTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL AND NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED. SOUTHEAST WINDS, OCCASIONALLY BREEZY, WILL MAINTAIN
MODEST DEW POINTS IN THE AREA WHICH WILL KEEP AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY MINIMUMS ABOVE ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. MAY
EVENTUALLY SEE SOME FOG CONCERNS TOWARDS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
MORNINGS WITH SATURATED CONDITIONS FORECAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE IN THE 60S AND 70S AND LOW TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE
40S.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 213 AM MDT SUN OCT 18 2026
STARTING ON WEDNESDAY AND THROUGH FRIDAY, THE AREA IS EXPECTED
TO BE UNDER AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE THAT AMPLIFIES TOWARDS THE
NORTHEAST. AS THE RIDGE AMPLIFIES, A TROUGH SYSTEM TO THE
SOUTHWEST BEGINS TO MOVE EAST PUTTING US INTO SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW. WITH THIS SETUP, WE WOULD LIKELY SEE TEMPERATURES REMAIN
ABOVE SEASONAL, STARTING IN THE 70S AND BUILDING INTO THE 80S ON
FRIDAY. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO PICK UP FROM 5-10 MPH TO OVER 20
MPH FROM THE SOUTH. WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW,
CLOUD COVER IS ALSO EXPECTED TO BUILD OVER THE AREA AS MID- TO
UPPER-LEVEL MOISTURE MOVES THROUGH.
DURING THE WEEKEND, THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN TRANSITIONS INTO
ELONGATED ZONAL FLOW AFTER THE TROUGH MOVES OVER THE AREA
SATURDAY MORNING. WITH THIS CHANGE IN PATTERN, THIS SHOULD BRING
A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA CREATING A CHANCES OF SHOWERS INTO
THE AREA SATURDAY MORNING AND ENDING SUNDAY MORNING. HOWEVER
WITH THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS, IT IS UNCLEAR WHEN THE SHOWERS
COULD OCCUR AS FORECAST GUIDANCE STARTS TO SHOW GROWING
UNCERTAINTY ON TIMING OF THE TROUGH SYSTEM. IF THE TROUGH SPEEDS
UP, THIS WOULD LEAD THE COLD FRONT TO PASS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
AND COULD SHOWERS TO OCCUR ALL THROUGHOUT SATURDAY. IF THE
TROUGH SLOWS DOWN, WE COULD EXPECT THE COLD FRONT TO PASS
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND PUSHING THE TIMING OF SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT AND ENDING MIDDAY SUNDAY. ONCE THE COLD FRONT PASSES
THROUGH, TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE BACK IN THE 70S WITH A
FEW LINGERING CLOUDS OVER THE AREA.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1123 PM MDT SAT OCT 17 2026
FOR KGLD AND KMCK, VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST DURING THE TAF
PERIOD. WINDS WILL LIKELY BE FROM THE SOUTH AND AROUND 10-15 KTS
TO START THE PERIOD. AROUND THE EARLY MORNING, EXPECT WINDS TO
LIGHTEN TO AROUND 5-10 KTS. FOR KMCK, LOW-LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS
FORECAST TO START THE PERIOD THEN LASTING UNTIL AROUND 11Z.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...024/MOELLER
AVIATION...HOLDREN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page