642
FXUS62 KJAX 241927
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
227 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2025
..WIDESPREAD FREEZE AND FROST TONIGHT
NEAR TERM...(THROUGH TONIGHT)
A WEAK REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION TONIGHT
ALONG WITH A DRY, COLD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. HIGH CLOUDS
STREAMING ACROSS SE GA WILL LIFT OUT TONIGHT AND LIMITED COLUMN
MOISTURE WILL KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR THEREAFTER WITH SURFACE
RIDGING GRADUALLY SETTLES OVERHEAD.
AS AFTERNOON BREEZINESS SETTLES WITH THE RELAXING GRADIENTS,
TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET ONCE AGAIN TO SUBFREEZING LEVELS AFTER
SUNSET. WITHOUT MUCH, IF ANY, WIND AT PLAY THE "WIND CHILL" IMPACT
WILL BE MINIMAL; HOWEVER, AIR TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET WITH
EXCELLENT RADIATIONAL COOLING TONIGHT. BITTER COLD TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SUWANNEE VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST GA WHERE
LOWS WILL FALL TO LOW/MID 20S TONIGHT WHILE THE REST OF NORTHEAST
FL FALLS TO THE UPPER 20S AND LOW 30S. GIVEN THE LITTLE WIND,
WIDESPREAD AREAS OF FROST ARE LIKELY ACROSS ALL AREAS INCLUDING
THE BEACH COMMUNITIES.
ALL THAT SAID, THERE IS A FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT TONIGHT.
ANOTHER NIGHT OF DANGEROUSLY COLD TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED,
HOWEVER, APPARENT TEMPERATURE IS NOT QUITE AT COLD WEATHER
ADVISORY GIVEN THE LACK OF WIND. THIS MAY DESERVE ANOTHER LOOK
DURING THE EVENING UPDATE.
SHORT TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
HIGH PRESSURE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
RESULTING IN DRY WEATHER AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES, WITH CLOUD
DENSITY INCREASING ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY PRESSING
IN FROM OUT OF THE NORTHWEST. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE
OVER THE COURSE OF THE WEEKEND WITH DAILY MAX TEMPS REACHING INTO
THE 50S AND 60S BY SUNDAY. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL DROP
DOWN INTO THE 20S AND 30S ON SATURDAY WITH MIN TEMPS RISING INTO
THE 30S AND LOWER 40S GOING INTO NEXT WEEK.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS ON MONDAY OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AS A FRONT
MOVES SOUTHEASTWARD FROM OUT OF THE NORTHWEST, FOLLOWED BY A
PERIOD OF DRIER WEATHER AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH MIDWEEK. HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO RECEDE
BEFORE THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK, WITH A MORE MOIST WESTERLY
FLOW BRINGING IN INCREASED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST AREA. THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE ON INTO NEXT WEEK
WITH TEMPERATURES RISING TO BE WELL ABOVE THE SEASONAL AVERAGE BY
THURSDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 140 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2025
DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL TREND NORTHWESTERLY THIS EVENING THEN CALM
OVERNIGHT AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVERHEAD.
MARINE
BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS CONTINUE THROUGH AROUND
MIDNIGHT BEFORE GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF AND BECOMING LIGHT OVER THE
WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE WATERS. VICINITY HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE LIGHT WINDS AND LOW SEAS THROUGH AT LEAST
THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK.
RIP CURRENTS: LINGERING ELEVATED SURF HAS KEPT RIP CURRENT RISK HIGH
AT NE FL BEACHES TODAY. AS WINDS AND SURF LOWER, RISK WILL LOWER TO
MODERATE AT ALL AREA BEACHES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 47 22 50 26 / 0 0 0 0
SSI 51 31 51 34 / 0 0 0 0
JAX 53 27 54 32 / 0 0 0 0
SGJ 53 32 55 41 / 0 0 0 0
GNV 53 26 56 33 / 0 0 0 0
OCF 56 28 59 36 / 0 0 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...FREEZE WARNING FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY FOR
FLZ021-023-024-030-120-124-220-322-422-522.
FREEZE WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY FOR
FLZ031-033-035-038-125-132-133-136-137-140-225-232-236-237-
240-325-340-425.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR FLZ124-125-133-
138.
GA...FREEZE WARNING FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY FOR
GAZ132>136-149-151>154-162-163-165-166-250-264-350-364.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR AMZ472-474.
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