940
FXUS62 KJAX 260709
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
209 AM EST SUN JAN 26 2025
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM
ISSUED AT 125 AM EST SUN JAN 26 2025
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED JUST TO THE NORTH TODAY. SUBSIDENCE
UNDER THIS HIGH WILL PROVIDE FOR DRY WEATHER. ONSHORE FLOW SOUTH OF
THE HIGH CENTER WILL PUSH A FEW STRATUS CLOUDS ASHORE ALONG THE
COAST, WITH PASSING HIGH CLOUDS ABOVE. OTHERWISE, A MAINLY SUNNY DAY
IS FORECAST. TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO CLOSER TO SEASONAL
AVERAGES. INLAND HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S
OVER SE GA, TO THE MID TO UPPER 60S OVER NE FL. WITH COASTAL WATER
TEMPERATURES RUNNING IN THE 45 TO 50 RANGE, THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL
KEEP BEACH COMMUNITIES COOLER TODAY. HIGHS ALONG THE COAST IN THE
UPPER 50S WILL BE COMMON.
THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TONIGHT, BUT WILL
WEAKEN AS A WAVE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE
NIGHT, BUT ITS CLOUD COVER WILL ADVECT IN. THE CLOUD COVER WILL HELP
KEEP TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S WILL
BE COMMON FOR SE GA, AND UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S NE FL.
SHORT TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 125 AM EST SUN JAN 26 2025
A TROUGH WILL DEVELOP DOWN THE EASTERN US COASTAL STATES MONDAY,
WITH THIS WAVE MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG IT. SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS
INTERIOR SE GA WITH THIS FEATURE. FURTHER SOUTH, AREA WILL REMAIN
DRY DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING. HIGHS MONDAY IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 60S SE GA, TO THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S NE FL. A WEAK SEA
BREEZE DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON, WILL HELP KEEP COASTAL
COMMUNITIES A LITTLE COOLER.
FOR MONDAY NIGHT, A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA.
THIS BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH DRY. SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD
OF THE TROUGH, WILL YIELD MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S WILL BE COMMON.
ON TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT, THE REGION WILL BE BETWEEN HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF, AND A TROUGH ALONG THE COAST OF
THE US. PASSING CLOUDS DUE TO TROUGH ARE EXPECTED, AS TEMPERATURES
RISE ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 125 AM EST SUN JAN 26 2025
THE REGION WILL BE BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTHWEST, AND A
TROUGH TO THE NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY. THIS TROUGH WILL PASS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE BOUNDARY WILL PASS THROUGH DRY, BUT CLOUD COVER
WILL ACCOMPANY IT. A WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW IS FORECAST AHEAD OF THE
BOUNDARY WEDNESDAY, WHICH WILL ALLOW WARMER AIR TO PUSH ACROSS AREA.
HIGHS WILL RANGE IN THE 70 TO 75 DEGREE RANGE. LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S FOR SE GA, AND LOWER 50S FOR NE FL.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY. THE
POSITION OF THIS HIGH WILL RESULT IN AN ONSHORE FLOW. IT WILL BE A
DRY DAY WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. THE COOLEST TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY WILL BE AT THE COAST, DUE TO FLOW ACROSS RELATIVELY COOLER
ATLANTIC. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S COAST, UPPER 60S TO AROUND
70 SE GA, AND LOWER 70S INLAND NE FL.
THE HIGH WILL MOVE FURTHER AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL CONTINUE THE ONSHORE FLOW. IT WILL REMAIN DRY, WITH LOWS
45 TO 50 SE GA, AND 50 TO 55 NE FL.
FOR FRIDAY, THE HIGH WILL BUILD MORE TOWARD THE EAST, AS A FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. ONSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL, WITH HIGHS
RANGING FROM 65 TO 70 COAST, TO UPPER 60S TO MID 70S INLAND.
THE HIGH WILL MOVE FURTHER AWAY TO THE EAST FRIDAY NIGHT, AS FRONTAL
SYSTEM BEGINS TO AFFECT FAR INLAND COUNTIES, WITH RAIN CHANCES. THE
FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS REGION SATURDAY, WITH RAIN CHANCES
CONTINUING. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1203 AM EST SUN JAN 26 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THIS PERIOD. FEW TO SCATTERED
LOW STRATUS IS FORECAST TO MOVE IN OFF THE ATLANTIC THIS MORNING,
AND COULD LINGER THROUGH THE DAY.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 125 AM EST SUN JAN 26 2025
THE AREA WILL BE INFLUENCED BY HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH TONIGHT.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS AREA MONDAY INTO
MONDAY NIGHT. THE REGION WILL BE BETWEEN A TROUGH TO THE
NORTH NORTHEAST, AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTHWEST TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TO THE NORTH
NORTHEAST THURSDAY. THE HIGH WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY
NIGHT, THEN EAST FRIDAY.
RIP CURRENTS: SE GA: LOW THROUGH MONDAY
NE FL: MODERATE TODAY, LOW MONDAY
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 59 37 59 41 / 0 10 20 0
SSI 57 42 59 45 / 0 0 20 0
JAX 62 40 66 44 / 0 0 0 0
SGJ 60 45 67 46 / 0 0 0 0
GNV 67 42 70 46 / 0 0 0 0
OCF 69 43 71 47 / 0 0 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR FLZ021-023-024-
030-031-035-120-136-220-225-232-236-322-422-425-522.
FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR FLZ033-038-124-
125-132-137-140-237-240-325-340.
GA...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR GAZ132>136-149-
151>154-162-163-165-166-250-264-350-364.
AM...NONE.
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