929
FXUS62 KJAX 271731
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1231 PM EST MON JAN 27 2025
..NEW AVIATION
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 827 AM EST MON JAN 27 2025
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK FOR PRE-FRONTAL SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS
SE GA TODAY AND INTO NE FL TONIGHT AS FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLOWLY
PUSHES SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION AND EXITS TO THE SOUTH EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING. OVERALL INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE, WHICH
COULD LEAD TO SOME PATCHY/AREAS OF FOG LATE TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. TEMPS REMAIN CLOSE TO SEASONABLE VALUES.
NEAR TERM
ISSUED AT 120 AM EST MON JAN 27 2025
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST THIS MORNING, WHILE
A WAVE MOVES NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT. A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SE GA TODAY DUE TO THE
WAVE. CHANCES WILL THEN CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS AREA AS THE FRONT
ITSELF MOVES THROUGH. AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH IT IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN, BUT LOW CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL EXTEND ACROSS FORECAST
AREA THROUGH THE NIGHT.
A LARGE RANGE IN TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED TODAY, AS CLOUDS AND
SHOWERS WILL KEEP AREA OVER SE GA COOLER. HIGHS OVER SE GA WILL
RANGE FROM THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S, WHILE THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER
70S ARE FORECAST FOR NE FL.
DUE TO FRONTAL TIMING, A RANGE IN TEMPERATURES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. LOWS OVER SE GA WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID
40S, AND UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S OVER NE FL.
SHORT TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 120 AM EST MON JAN 27 2025
THE REGION WILL BE BETWEEN A TROUGH TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST, AND
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.
CLOUDS WILL DECREASE TUESDAY MORNING FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
A SUNNY AFTERNOON IS FORECAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL
AVERAGES TUESDAY. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TUESDAY NIGHT AND LIGHT
FLOW, TEMPERATURES WILL BE A LITTLE BELOW AVERAGE.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS AREA WEDNESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS PASSAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE DRY. WARM
ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE FRONT, WILL YIELD ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WEDNESDAY. READINGS WILL BE NEAR NORMAL FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 120 AM EST MON JAN 27 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTH TO NORTHEAST OF THE AREA THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT, THEN TO THE EAST FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS AREA FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. A
ROUND OF SHOWERS IS EXPECTED WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE, AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES
WILL TREND ABOVE NORMAL THIS PERIOD.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1226 PM EST MON JAN 27 2025
VFR AT ALL LOCATIONS SO FAR THIS AFTERNOON WITH -SHRA STILL
ONGOING AT SSI, WHILE SCATTERED CU FIELD HAS DEVELOPED AROUND 4000
FEET ACROSS THE NE FL TAF SITES. APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY
STILL ON TRACK TO BRING MVFR CIGS IN THE 03-06Z TIME FRAME, THEN
LIKELY IFR CIGS DEVELOPING IN THE 06-09Z TIME FRAME AT ALL TAF
SITES WITH SOME LIGHT DRIZZLE AND/OR PATCHY FOG AT INLAND TAF
SITES UNTIL THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY CLEARS, THEN BACK TO MVFR IN THE
11-13Z TIME FRAME AS LOW CLOUDS BEGIN TO BREAK UP AND LIFT BEHIND
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY, WITH VFR CONDS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE
13-16Z TIME FRAME FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AS NW WINDS INCREASE TO 8-10
KNOTS WITH THE CLEARING SKIES.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 120 AM EST MON JAN 27 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE FURTHER EAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. THE REGION
WILL BE BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY,
AND A TROUGH TO THE NORTH. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS
AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT, WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING TO THE NORTHWEST
BEHIND IT. THIS HIGH WILL BUILD TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT, THEN TO THE EAST FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST ACROSS AREA LATE IN THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.
RIP CURRENTS: SE GA: LOW THROUGH TUESDAY
NE FL: LOW THROUGH TUESDAY
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 55 41 62 39 / 80 20 0 0
SSI 57 46 60 43 / 40 20 0 0
JAX 69 49 66 42 / 20 10 0 0
SGJ 69 51 67 44 / 10 10 0 0
GNV 71 51 69 42 / 10 20 0 0
OCF 73 51 71 44 / 10 10 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
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