220
FXUS62 KJAX 281842
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
142 PM EST TUE JAN 28 2025
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM
(THROUGH TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 140 PM EST TUE JAN 28 2025
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
REST OF THIS AFTERNOON...SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE WEST AND PROVIDE FOR
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TO END THE DAY AS HIGH TEMPS
GENERALLY END UP IN THE 60S FOR MOST LOCATIONS. NORTHWEST WINDS
CONTINUE AT 10-15G20 MPH IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING COLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY.
TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY AND COOLER TONIGHT WITH A
FEW HIGH CLOUDS FROM TIME TO TIME. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S ACROSS
INLAND SE GA AND LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S ACROSS INLAND NE FL AND
MID/UPPER 40S ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. PATCHY/AREAS OF FOG
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS INLAND NE FL LATE TONIGHT AND COULD
BECOME LOCALLY DENSE ALONG THE I-75 CORRIDOR BY SUNRISE WEDNESDAY
MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 140 PM EST TUE JAN 28 2025
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER THE REGION AFTER
YESTERDAY'S COLD FRONT PASSAGE. FOG DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
ON WEDNESDAY SHOULD CLEAR DURING THE FIRST COUPLE HOURS ON
WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TRENDING UPWARD THROUGH
THURSDAY. DAYTIME HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH INTO THE LOWER 70S
ACROSS NE FL AND MOST LOCATIONS OF SE GA ON WEDNESDAY. THE
'COOLER' SPOTS WILL BE LOCATIONS NORTH OF WAYCROSS, GA ON AS HIGHS
WILL ONLY GET INTO THE UPPER 60S. BY THE EVENING, OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL DIP INTO THE 40S AREA-WIDE.
PATCHY FOG WILL AGAIN LOOK TO DEVELOP DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
INTO THURSDAY MORNING. KEEPING MENTION OF DENSE FOG POTENTIAL OUT
OF THE FORECAST FOR NOW ON THURSDAY MORNING, WILL RE-EVALUATE IN
THE UPCOMING FORECAST PACKAGES. DAYTIME HIGHS ACROSS INLAND
LOCATIONS ON THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE 70S, WITH WARMER LOCATIONS
ALONG THE NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA COUNTIES. COASTAL LOCATIONS WILL
REMAIN IN THE 60S AS ONSHORE BREEZE WILL WORK TO BRING THE COOLER
AIR OVER THESE LOCATIONS. WARMER TEMPERATURES THURSDAY NIGHT AS A
WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION. SOME LOCATIONS WILL
SEE ABOUT A +10 DEGREE DIFFERENCE IN TEMPERATURES AS OVERNIGHT
LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 50S AREA-WIDE. THERE WILL ALSO BE A
POTENTIAL FOR SEA FOG DEVELOPMENT DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. INCREASING DEW POINTS AFTER THE WARM FRONT'S
PASSAGE MAY ALLOW FOR SOME FOG TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST AND
LOCAL WATERS FROM JACKSONVILLE, FL NORTHWARD TOWARDS ST. SIMONS,
GA.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 140 PM EST TUE JAN 28 2025
WARMER DAYTIME TEMPS SPREAD NORTHWARD AFTER THE PASSAGE OF A WARM
FRONT DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
THROUGH FRIDAY, ALLOWING FOR WARMER AIR TO SPREAD WELL INTO SE GA.
HIGHS CURRENTLY TRENDING TO RISE INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S
ALONG INTERIOR LOCATIONS OF NE FL AND SE GA. BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON,
SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO SE GA AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT. SHOWERS WILL SPREAD SOUTH TOWARDS NE FL DURING THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS INTO SATURDAY, CLEARING SOUTH OF THE REGION BY
SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL DECREASE AND SHIFT TO BECOME
NORTHWESTERLY-NORTHERLY ON SATURDAY AND THEN NORTHEASTERLY-
EASTERLY BY SUNDAY. DRY CONDITIONS DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT'S
PASSAGE. SKIES STEADILY BEGIN TO CLEAR AS DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO
MOVE INTO THE REGION HEADING INTO THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL LOOK TO SIT AT NEAR NORMAL OR ABOVE NORMAL
LEVELS THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1216 PM EST TUE JAN 28 2025
VFR CONDS HAVE DEVELOPED AREA-WIDE WITH SCT-BKN HIGH CLOUDS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. COOL OVERNIGHT TEMPS TONIGHT WILL
HELP TO DEVELOP SOME PATCHY FOG ACROSS INLAND NE FL TAF SITES
WITH MVFR VSBYS EXPECTED AT VQQ/JAX, WHILE HIGHER CHANCES OF FOG
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND NE FL AND WIDESPREAD MVFR VSBYS ARE
EXPECTED AT GNV FROM 09-14Z, WITH TEMPO FOR IFR/LIFR VSBYS/CIGS
FROM 10-13Z AT GNV AND HAVE TRENDED IN THIS DIRECTION.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 140 PM EST TUE JAN 28 2025
NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
SOUTH OF THE LOCAL WATERS TONIGHT/WEDNESDAY WILL PROVIDE A WEAK
OFFSHORE FLOW, THEN MOVES OVER THE LOCAL WATERS ON THURSDAY WITH
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. THIS HIGH PRESSURE CENTER WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE THURSDAY NIGHT WITH SOUTH FLOW DEVELOPING AND INCREASES
THE RISK OF SEA FOG DEVELOPMENT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. STRONGER
SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS ON FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THAT IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE LOCAL WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT
WITH A POTENTIAL FOR SCEC AND/OR SCA LEVEL WINDS INTO SATURDAY
MORNING BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND.
RIP CURRENTS: LOW RIP CURRENT RISK WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
WITH OFFSHORE FLOW AND SURF/BREAKERS GENERALLY IN THE 1-2 FT
RANGE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 39 68 43 70 / 0 0 0 0
SSI 44 66 47 63 / 0 0 0 0
JAX 41 72 46 69 / 0 0 0 0
SGJ 44 71 49 69 / 0 0 0 0
GNV 43 72 46 75 / 0 0 0 0
OCF 44 73 48 78 / 0 0 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page