172
FXUS62 KJAX 120146
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
946 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2025
..NEW UPDATE
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 939 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2025
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
RESIDUAL CONVECTION IS STILL OCCURRING OVER FLAGLER, SE PUTNAM AND
FAR EASTERN MARION COUNTIES. THERE WERE MANY REPORTS THIS LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING OF HAIL, WITH THE LARGEST OF THE ALACHUA
COUNTY WITH GOLF BALL, BILLIARD BALL AND HEN EGG SIZE (2")
DIAMETER IN GAINESVILLE. THE COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM
PONTE VEDRA TO JUST NORTHWEST OF OCALA. THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE
TO TRACK SOUTHWARD INTO AND THROUGH NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS
LATE EVENING.
DRY AND COOLER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL CLEAR THE SKIES THROUGH THE
PREDAWN HOURS AND LOWER TEMPERATURES INTO THE UPPER 40S IN SE GA AND
LOW/MID 50S IN NE FL BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY.
CURRENT FORECAST HAS THIS ALL COVERED AND THANKS TO ALL CITIZENS
AND PARTNERS FOR SENDING THEIR HAIL PHOTOS FROM THIS EVENT THROUGH
EMAIL, NWSCHAT, AND SOCIAL MEDIA.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 735 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2025
SOUTH OF THE FL/GA BORDER, NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORM HAD
DEVELOPED WITH SOME STORMS STILL POTENTIALLY BECOMING STRONG,
WITH SOME WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS AND AND SMALL HAIL.
CONVECTION WILL START WANING AFTER 02Z WITH LINGERING SHOWERS
THROUGH 04Z. BRIEF MVFR CEILINGS MAY ACCOMPANY RAIN AND STORMS AS
THEY PASS. OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS, VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL.
VFR CONDITIONS AT SSI. WINDS WILL FAVOR A WESTERLY DIRECTION WITH
GUSTS UP TO 20-25 KTS AHEAD OF THE FRONT THEN SWITCH TO
NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT LATER THIS EVENING. VFR CONDITIONS
AFTER 08Z THROUGH THE REST OF THE TAF PERIOD WITH LIGHTER NW WIND
DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS AND SATURDAY MORNING.
MARINE
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND PUSH INTO THE WATERS THROUGH THE EVENING ALONG A
COLD FRONT. OFFSHORE WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY LATER TONIGHT
IN THE WAKE OF THIS FRONT AND WILL BECOME BREEZY ON SATURDAY;
SMALL CRAFT ARE URGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION, ESPECIALLY IN OFFSHORE
WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD THROUGH THE WEEKEND
BEHIND THE FRONT BEFORE IT SHIFTS EAST AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT
APPROACHES AND EVENTUALLY PASSES TUESDAY NIGHT.
RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK CONTINUES THROUGH SATURDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 222 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2025
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING, MAINLY OVER NORTHEAST FL, AS A COLD FRONT
MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH THE AREA. OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS,
WINDS AROUND 15-20 MPH GUSTING TO 25-30 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED. GIVEN
THE FUEL STATUS, MUCH OF THE AREA ISN'T LIKELY TO BE CRITICAL;
HOWEVER, LOW HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND WITH BREEZY
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS SATURDAY WHICH WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE
CONDITIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 75 48 71 44 / 20 0 0 0
SSI 80 54 72 53 / 40 10 10 0
JAX 82 52 75 48 / 50 50 0 0
SGJ 83 55 73 53 / 20 60 0 0
GNV 82 51 75 47 / 30 60 0 0
OCF 82 51 75 47 / 0 60 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
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