398
FXUS62 KJAX 120535
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
135 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2025
..NEW AVIATION
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 135 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE REGIONAL TERMINALS. DEVELOPING
ONSHORE WINDS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL SPREAD SCATTERED MARINE
STRATOCUMULUS ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES, BUT CEILINGS WILL
REMAIN AROUND OR ABOVE 3,500 FEET. NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS
SUSTAINED AT 5-10 KNOTS OVERNIGHT WILL INCREASE TO 10-15 KNOTS BY
16Z. SURFACE WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT TO NORTHEASTERLY AT THE SSI AND
SGJ COASTAL TERMINALS AFTER 17Z, WITH THESE ONSHORE WINDS THEN
SPREADING INLAND TO CRG AND JAX DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON
HOURS. SURFACE WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS, WITH LIGHT OFFSHORE WINDS DEVELOPING AT THE COASTAL
TERMINALS TOWARDS 06Z SUNDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 939 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2025
RESIDUAL CONVECTION IS STILL OCCURRING OVER FLAGLER, SE PUTNAM AND
FAR EASTERN MARION COUNTIES. THERE WERE MANY REPORTS THIS LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING OF HAIL, WITH THE LARGEST OF THE ALACHUA
COUNTY WITH GOLF BALL, BILLIARD BALL AND HEN EGG SIZE (2")
DIAMETER IN GAINESVILLE. THE COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM
PONTE VEDRA TO JUST NORTHWEST OF OCALA. THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE
TO TRACK SOUTHWARD INTO AND THROUGH NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS
LATE EVENING.
DRY AND COOLER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL CLEAR THE SKIES THROUGH THE
PREDAWN HOURS AND LOWER TEMPERATURES INTO THE UPPER 40S IN SE GA AND
LOW/MID 50S IN NE FL BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY.
CURRENT FORECAST HAS THIS ALL COVERED AND THANKS TO ALL CITIZENS
AND PARTNERS FOR SENDING THEIR HAIL PHOTOS FROM THIS EVENT THROUGH
EMAIL, NWSCHAT, AND SOCIAL MEDIA.
MARINE
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND PUSH INTO THE WATERS THROUGH THE EVENING ALONG A
COLD FRONT. OFFSHORE WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY LATER TONIGHT
IN THE WAKE OF THIS FRONT AND WILL BECOME BREEZY ON SATURDAY;
SMALL CRAFT ARE URGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION, ESPECIALLY IN OFFSHORE
WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD THROUGH THE WEEKEND
BEHIND THE FRONT BEFORE IT SHIFTS EAST AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT
APPROACHES AND EVENTUALLY PASSES TUESDAY NIGHT.
RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK CONTINUES THROUGH SATURDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 222 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2025
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING, MAINLY OVER NORTHEAST FL, AS A COLD FRONT
MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH THE AREA. OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS,
WINDS AROUND 15-20 MPH GUSTING TO 25-30 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED. GIVEN
THE FUEL STATUS, MUCH OF THE AREA ISN'T LIKELY TO BE CRITICAL;
HOWEVER, LOW HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND WITH BREEZY
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS SATURDAY WHICH WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE
CONDITIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 71 44 76 49 / 0 0 0 0
SSI 72 53 73 57 / 10 0 0 0
JAX 75 48 78 52 / 0 0 0 0
SGJ 73 53 75 55 / 0 0 0 0
GNV 75 47 79 49 / 0 0 0 0
OCF 75 47 80 50 / 0 0 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
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