506
FXUS62 KJAX 081050
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
650 AM EDT FRI AUG 8 2025
..NEW AVIATION
NEAR TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1253 AM EDT FRI AUG 8 2025
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TO THE NORTH OF THE
REGION ACROSS THE CAROLINAS, WHILE A WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS NE FL. THIS WILL CONTINUE ABOVE NORMAL
RAINFALL CHANCES AND SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPS ACROSS COASTAL SE
GA AND ALL OF NE FL TODAY WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
STORMS ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS THIS MORNING, TRANSITIONING INLAND
WITH DAYTIME HEATING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MAIN THREATS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE STORM ACTIVITY DUE TO
THE SLOW STORM MOTION. MAX TEMPS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER
80S ALONG COASTAL ATLANTIC AREAS AND AROUND 90F ACROSS INLAND
AREAS OF NE FL/SE GA. CONVECTION WILL FADE AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT
OVER INLAND AREAS, WHILE THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE SLIGHT
CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. LOW TEMPS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE
LOWER 70S INLAND AND MID/UPPER 70S ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST
TONIGHT.
SHORT TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1253 AM EDT FRI AUG 8 2025
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN WEDGED TO THE NORTH
FROM THE MID ATLANTIC INTO THE CAROLINAS WITH COASTAL TROUGHING
TO THE EAST MOVING ONSHORE EARLY IN THE DAY WITH A WAVE OF COASTAL
SHOWERS PUSHING ONSHORE. THE COASTAL TROUGH WILL PHASE WITH THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND LIFT NORTHWARD INTO SE GA SATURDAY WITH EXPANDING
SHOWERS AND T'STORMS INLAND. SUNDAY, THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL REMAIN ACROSS SE GA WITH A STRONGER ATLANTIC SEABREEZE MOVING
WELL INLAND WITH INCREASING SHOWERS AND T'STORMS DUE TO SEABREEZE
INTERACTIONS INLAND, LIFT ALONG THE FRONT AND ABOVE NORMAL MOISTURE
LEVELS (PWATS 2.00-2.25 INCHES). ONSHORE WINDS WILL TURN MORE
EASTERLY 10-15 MPH NEAR THE COAST WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH AND 5-10 MPH
INLAND.
MOSTLY CLOUDS SKIES WILL PERSIST DURING MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS
AND LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES TO THE MID/UPPER 80S FROM THE COAST
INTO SE GA AND MUCH OF NE FL AND AROUND 90 OVER NORTH CENTRAL FL.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1253 AM EDT FRI AUG 8 2025
WET PATTERN CONTINUES EARLY NEXT WEEK AS DIFFUSE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
STAYS OVER THE AREA WITH 80-90 PERCENT POPS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
GRADUALLY WEAKEN TO THE NE INTO MIDWEEK WITH BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGING EXTENDING WESTWARD INTO THE AREA FROM THE ATLANTIC. WINDS
FROM THE EAST EARLY IN THE WEEK AND SOUTHEASTERLY LATE IN THE WEEK
WILL SUPPORT A STRONGER ATLANTIC SEABREEZE PUSHING INLAND EACH
AFTERNOON AND FOCUSING A FEW STRONG T'STORMS CLOSER TO I-75.
ALOFT, THE RIDGING WILL BUILD ALOFT IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS AND
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE FROM NEAR NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL
WITH HIGHS WEDNESDAY TO FRIDAY IN THE MID 90S INLAND AND THE LOW
90S AT THE COAST.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 648 AM EDT FRI AUG 8 2025
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY.
SHOWERS MAY LINGER NEAR THE COAST THROUGH TONIGHT.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR CONVECTION WILL AFFECT TAF SITES NEAR THE
EAST COAST THIS MORNING, WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE INLAND IN THE
AFTERNOON.
AN AREA OF LOW STRATUS WILL AFFECT KSSI THIS MORNING.
RESTRICTIONS IN AND NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1253 AM EDT FRI AUG 8 2025
A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE OVER THE AREA TODAY.
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MAY DEVELOP ALONG THIS BOUNDARY OFF THE
SOUTHEASTERN US COAST. THIS LOW WOULD MOVE THEN NORTHEAST OF THE
REGION OVER THE WEEKEND, AS TROUGHING EXTENDS SOUTHWEST OVER AREA
WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TO THE NORTHEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THE ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY REMAIN IN THE
10-15 KNOT RANGE AND MARINE HEADLINES ARE NOT EXPECTED.
RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH
ONSHORE FLOW AND SURF/BREAKERS 2-3 FT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 89 71 86 71 / 60 30 80 40
SSI 86 76 86 76 / 80 70 90 70
JAX 89 74 88 74 / 70 60 90 60
SGJ 88 75 87 76 / 80 60 90 60
GNV 90 73 89 73 / 90 40 90 40
OCF 90 73 90 74 / 90 60 100 40
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
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