955
FXUS62 KJAX 062322
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
622 PM EST THU NOV 6 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
- PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG TONIGHT, LOCALLY DENSE POSSIBLE
- ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND
- SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. GALE
WARNING POSSIBLE DUE TO FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE
- FROST & LIGHT FREEZE POTENTIAL TUESDAY MORNING AND WEDNESDAY MORNING
- ELEVATED FIRE DANGER MONDAY AND TUESDAY
NEAR TERM
ISSUED AT 1242 PM EST THU NOV 6 2025
DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS TOWARDS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
NORTHEASTERLY ONSHORE FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR COOLER TEMPERATURES
ALONG COASTAL LOCATIONS THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY. DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S ACROSS INLAND LOCATIONS, WITH LOWER 70S
ALONG THE COAST THANKS TO THE ONSHORE FLOW. BY TONIGHT, LOWS WILL
DIP INTO THE LOWER 50S FOR ACROSS INLAND SE GA AND THE SUWANNEE
VALLEY REGION OF NE FL LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR AND
COASTAL LOCATIONS WILL SIT IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. A FEW
ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY POSSIBLE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS OVER THE
OUTER WATERS, BUT CHANCES ARE RATHER LOW. NEAR CALM WINDS AND LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE FOR PATCHY TO
AREAS OF FOG TO DEVELOP DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS TO EARLY
MORNING HOURS INTO FRIDAY OVER SE GA AND SOUTH TOWARDS LOCATIONS
ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR IN NE FL.
SHORT TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1242 PM EST THU NOV 6 2025
SOUTHWEST STEERING FLOW WILL BEGIN TO BRING IN SOME MORE MOISTURE
TO THE AREA AHEAD OF A LARGE SCALE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE EASTERN
U.S.. OVERALL, PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOW 80S (COOLER NEAR THE COAST) EXPECTED BOTH DAYS.
ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL MOVE INTO INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA SATURDAY
MORNING THROUGH THE EVENING, WITH PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPING BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW. MILD LOW TEMPERATURES FORECAST
BOTH NIGHTS, LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 60S. FOG IS LIKELY OVER MOST
OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA SATURDAY MORNING.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1242 PM EST THU NOV 6 2025
WIDESPREAD INLAND ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY AS A FRONT MOVES THROUGH, WITH HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S AND BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. BEHIND THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE, WINDS WILL INCREASE AND SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY, BRINGING IN
MUCH COOLER AIR TO START THE WORK WEEK. HIGHS MONDAY WILL STAY IN
THE 50S FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA, AND LOWER 60S FOR NORTHEAST
FLORIDA, SIMILAR HIGH TEMPERATURES FORECAST FOR TUESDAY, IF NOT A
FEW DEGREES COOLER. MONDAY NIGHT WILL LIKELY BE THE FIRST FREEZE
OF THE SEASON FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA, WITH A LIGHT FREEZE
NEAR THE SUWANNEE VALLEY. LOW TEMPERATURES AGAIN WILL HOVER NEAR
FREEZING TUESDAY NIGHT, WITH FROST LIKELY FOR MANY INLAND
LOCATIONS. IT WILL START TO WARM UP WEDNESDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE
60S AND LOWS ABOVE FREEZING.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 621 PM EST THU NOV 6 2025
FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT, AT AREA TAF SITES.
RESTRICTIONS CAN BE EXPECTED, WHICH MAY LINGER PAST SUNRISE. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE THEN FORECAST FROM MID MORNING, THROUGHOUT THE REST
OF THE DAY FRIDAY.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1242 PM EST THU NOV 6 2025
LIGHT TO BREEZY NORTHEAST FLOW OVER THE LOCAL WATERS TODAY, BECOMING
LIGHT BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. AN
APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE LOCAL WATERS ON SUNDAY WILL
BRING CHANCES OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS. STRONGER HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD BACK INTO AREA WATERS BEHIND THE FRONT
EARLY NEXT WEEK, BRINGING BREEZY WINDS WITH AT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LIKELY OVER AREA WATERS FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH THE START OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE FOR A GALE WARNING AS
FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO GALE FORCE WILL BE POSSIBLE.
RIP CURRENT: RIP CURRENT RISK IS MODERATE TODAY WITH SURF HEIGHTS
AROUND 3 FEET AND AN UPTICK IN ONSHORE FLOW.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 51 80 57 81 / 0 0 10 20
SSI 60 76 61 78 / 0 0 0 0
JAX 56 81 59 84 / 0 0 0 10
SGJ 62 79 62 82 / 0 10 0 0
GNV 57 83 59 85 / 0 0 0 10
OCF 59 82 60 84 / 0 10 0 10
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
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