986
FXUS62 KJAX 072318
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
618 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
- ISOLATED TSTORMS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND
- SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. GALE
WARNINGS POSSIBLEMONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT
- LIGHT FREEZE POTENTIAL EARLY TUESDAY & WEDNESDAY MORNINGS.
WIDESPREAD FROST POSSIBLE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING
- ELEVATED FIRE DANGER MONDAY AND TUESDAY
NEAR TERM
ISSUED AT 1217 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2025
IT WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY AND DRY THIS AFTERNOON, WITH SOME
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE LOCAL WATERS. TONIGHT,
PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AS A FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. WITH DECENT
MOISTURE AND CALM WINDS OVERNIGHT, ANOTHER ROUND OF EARLY MORNING
PATCHY FOG IS LIKELY ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF
INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. HIGHEST CHANCES FOR LOCALLY DENSE FOG
WILL BE NEAR THE I-75 CORRIDOR AND NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S.
SHORT TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1217 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2025
POTENTIAL FOR EARLY MORNING FOG DEVELOPMENTS THIS WEEKEND WITH A
RELATIVELY DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE PRESSING THROUGH THE REGION ON
SUNDAY, HOWEVER THE POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS BUILDING
ALONG WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS CANNOT BE RULED OUT AT THIS TIME.
INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY FOR
CONVECTION ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH CONDITIONS DRYING OUT
OVERNIGHT. HIGH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND WILL RISE
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 80S WITH OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES DROPPING
SHARPLY DOWN INTO THE 40S AND 50S ON SUNDAY AS COLD AIR FOLLOWING
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SETTLES IN OVER THE FORECAST AREA.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1217 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2025
GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY
FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH HIGH PRESSURE CONDITIONS
DOMINATING THE WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEK WITH DRY WEATHER,
CLEARING SKIES, MILD WINDS, AND COLDER TEMPERATURES. BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN PLACE FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK WITH
TEMPS GRADUALLY WARMING TO BE CLOSER TO THE SEASONAL AVERAGE AFTER
MIDWEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 616 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2025
PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THIS NIGHT, BUT
PATCHY FOG WILL DEVELOP TOWARD DAWN, WHICH COULD LEAD TO
RESTRICTIONS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR RESTRICTIONS IN FOG WILL BE INLAND
AT KVQQ AND KGNV.
A PREFRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON
SATURDAY, WHICH WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS, AND
POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM. AT THIS POINT THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION
IS PRETTY LOW, SO HAVE GONE WITH A VCSH DURING TIME OF BEST
POTENTIAL, AND LATER TAF FORECAST CYCLES CAN UPDATE THIS
POTENTIAL.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1217 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2025
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON SATURDAY AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD
FRONT THAT WILL BE ENTERING THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.. ISOLATED SHOWERS
WILL BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THIS FRONT ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THIS STRONG FRONT WILL CROSS OUR LOCAL WATERS DURING THE
OVERNIGHT AND PREDAWN HOURS ON MONDAY, WITH WESTERLY WINDS
STRENGTHENING AFTER MIDNIGHT AND THEN SHIFTING TO NORTHWESTERLY BY
SUNRISE, WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS QUICKLY OVERSPREADING
OUR LOCAL WATERS. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES ON MONDAY WILL RESULT IN OCCASIONAL GALE FORCE
WIND GUSTS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD
AND WILL BECOME CENTERED DIRECTLY OVER OUR LOCAL WATERS BY MIDWEEK,
ALLOWING FOR WINDS AND SEAS TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH.
RIP CURRENTS: ONSHORE WINDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF
THE INLAND MOVING ATLANTIC SEA BREEZE MAY ALLOW FOR A LOWER END
MODERATE RISKS AT THE NORTHEAST FL BEACHES. LOW SURF HEIGHTS WILL
MAINTAIN A LOW OVERALL RISK AT THE SOUTHEAST GA BEACHES THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ON SUNDAY
WILL YIELD A LOW RISK AT ALL AREA BEACHES.
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 207 AM EST FRI NOV 7 2025
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND:
NOVEMBER 8:
KJAX: 85/2024
KCRG: 84/2020
KGNV: 89/2018
KAMG: 86/2000
NOVEMBER 9:
KJAX: 88/1986
KCRG: 85/2018
KGNV: 88/1986
KAMG: 87/1986
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 59 81 61 80 / 20 20 10 30
SSI 62 78 65 80 / 10 10 0 10
JAX 60 83 64 84 / 0 20 0 20
SGJ 61 83 65 83 / 0 10 0 10
GNV 59 84 65 83 / 0 20 0 20
OCF 60 83 65 82 / 0 10 0 20
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
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