909
FXUS62 KJAX 080553
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1253 AM EST SAT NOV 8 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
- NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES & ISOLATED T'STORMS THIS WEEKEND
- SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. GALE
WARNINGS POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT.
- ELEVATED FIRE DANGER MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
- WIND CHILLS FALL INTO THE LOW TO MID 20S LATE MONDAY NIGHT, WITH
COLD WEATHER ADVISORIES POSSIBLE.
- FREEZE POTENTIAL EARLY TUES & WED MORNINGS. WIDESPREAD FROST
POSSIBLE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT & EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1253 AM EST SAT NOV 8 2025
PERIODS OF LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AROUND 11Z
SATURDAY AT VQQ. PREVAILING MVFR VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
AROUND 11Z AT CRG, WITH PERIODS OF IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
PREVAILING MVFR VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AT GNV AFTER
08Z, WITH PERIODS OF LIFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THROUGH AROUND 12Z.
OTHERWISE, PERIODS OF MVFR VISIBILITIES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
AROUND 13Z AT JAX, SSI, AND SGJ. CONFIDENCE WAS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO
INCLUDE POSSIBLE MVFR CONDITIONS AT SSI AND SGJ, WHILE A TEMPO
GROUP WAS INCLUDED AT JAX THROUGH AROUND 13Z. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
THEN PREVAIL AT THE REGIONAL TERMINALS TOWARDS 14Z. WIDELY
SCATTERED SHOWERS MAY APPROACH THE REGIONAL TERMINALS ON SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. CONFIDENCE WAS ONLY HIGH ENOUGH TO INDICATE VICINITY
COVERAGE AT THIS TIME. LOW STRATUS CEILINGS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO
MOVE ONSHORE FROM APALACHEE BAY ACROSS THE SUWANNEE VALLEY AFTER
03Z, WITH IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BEFORE 06Z SUNDAY AT GNV, VQQ,
AND JAX. SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN SUSTAINED AROUND
5 KNOTS THROUGH SUNRISE AT THE SSI AND SGJ COASTAL TERMINALS,
WHILE SUSTAINED SPEEDS REMAIN BELOW 5 KNOTS AT THE INLAND
TERMINALS. SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL THEN INCREASE TO 5-10
KNOTS AT THE REGIONAL TERMINALS BY 15Z. THE ATLANTIC SEA BREEZE
BOUNDARY WILL ONLY MOVE SLOWLY INLAND ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON, WITH
SURFACE WINDS SHIFTING TO SOUTHEASTERLY AROUND 10 KNOTS AT THE
COASTAL TERMINALS AFTER 18Z. SURFACE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHERLY
AT THE REGIONAL TERMINALS TOWARDS 00Z, WITH SPEEDS DIMINISHING TO
AROUND 5 KNOTS BY 04Z SUNDAY.
NEAR TERM
ISSUED AT 1217 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2025
IT WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY AND DRY THIS AFTERNOON, WITH SOME
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE LOCAL WATERS. TONIGHT,
PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AS A FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. WITH DECENT
MOISTURE AND CALM WINDS OVERNIGHT, ANOTHER ROUND OF EARLY MORNING
PATCHY FOG IS LIKELY ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF
INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. HIGHEST CHANCES FOR LOCALLY DENSE FOG
WILL BE NEAR THE I-75 CORRIDOR AND NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S.
SHORT TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1217 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2025
POTENTIAL FOR EARLY MORNING FOG DEVELOPMENTS THIS WEEKEND WITH A
RELATIVELY DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE PRESSING THROUGH THE REGION ON
SUNDAY, HOWEVER THE POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS BUILDING
ALONG WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS CANNOT BE RULED OUT AT THIS TIME.
INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY FOR
CONVECTION ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH CONDITIONS DRYING OUT
OVERNIGHT. HIGH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND WILL RISE
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 80S WITH OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES DROPPING
SHARPLY DOWN INTO THE 40S AND 50S ON SUNDAY AS COLD AIR FOLLOWING
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SETTLES IN OVER THE FORECAST AREA.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1217 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2025
GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY
FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH HIGH PRESSURE CONDITIONS
DOMINATING THE WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEK WITH DRY WEATHER,
CLEARING SKIES, MILD WINDS, AND COLDER TEMPERATURES. BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN PLACE FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK WITH
TEMPS GRADUALLY WARMING TO BE CLOSER TO THE SEASONAL AVERAGE AFTER
MIDWEEK.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1217 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2025
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON SATURDAY AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD
FRONT THAT WILL BE ENTERING THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.. ISOLATED SHOWERS
WILL BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THIS FRONT ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THIS STRONG FRONT WILL CROSS OUR LOCAL WATERS DURING THE
OVERNIGHT AND PREDAWN HOURS ON MONDAY, WITH WESTERLY WINDS
STRENGTHENING AFTER MIDNIGHT AND THEN SHIFTING TO NORTHWESTERLY BY
SUNRISE, WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS QUICKLY OVERSPREADING
OUR LOCAL WATERS. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES ON MONDAY WILL RESULT IN OCCASIONAL GALE FORCE
WIND GUSTS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD
AND WILL BECOME CENTERED DIRECTLY OVER OUR LOCAL WATERS BY MIDWEEK,
ALLOWING FOR WINDS AND SEAS TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH.
RIP CURRENTS: ONSHORE WINDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF
THE INLAND MOVING ATLANTIC SEA BREEZE MAY ALLOW FOR A LOWER END
MODERATE RISKS AT THE NORTHEAST FL BEACHES. LOW SURF HEIGHTS WILL
MAINTAIN A LOW OVERALL RISK AT THE SOUTHEAST GA BEACHES THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ON SUNDAY
WILL YIELD A LOW RISK AT ALL AREA BEACHES.
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 207 AM EST FRI NOV 7 2025
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND:
NOVEMBER 8:
KJAX: 85/2024
KCRG: 84/2020
KGNV: 89/2018
KAMG: 86/2000
NOVEMBER 9:
KJAX: 88/1986
KCRG: 85/2018
KGNV: 88/1986
KAMG: 87/1986
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 81 61 82 40 / 30 10 30 0
SSI 77 64 80 46 / 10 0 10 0
JAX 83 64 85 46 / 20 0 20 0
SGJ 83 66 82 50 / 10 10 20 0
GNV 84 65 84 48 / 20 10 20 0
OCF 84 66 82 50 / 20 10 20 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page