636
FXUS62 KJAX 222320
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
620 PM EST MON DEC 22 2025
KEY MESSAGES
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
- HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS NE FL BEACHES TODAY
- SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS THROUGH TONIGHT
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/
WEAK TROUGH ALONG THE COASTAL WATERS, COULD RESULT IN A FEW COASTAL
SHOWERS THIS EVENING. OTHWERWISE, A DRY NIGHT IS FORECAST. FOG
POTENTIAL TONIGHT WILL BE GREATEST WEST OF I95 TONIGHT.
SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL STRETCH OVERHEAD OF THE REGION TUESDAY,
MAINTAINING DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS FOR THE REGION. A WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL PROVIDE A GLANCING "BLOW" ON CHRISTMAS EVE, ESSENTIALLY
ONLY PUSHING SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WEST OF THE REGION WITH NO RAIN
CHANCES EXPECTED. PRIMARY IMPACTFUL WEATHER FOR THE SHORT TERM WILL
BE CHANCES FOR SIGNIFICANT TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THE MORNING ON
CHRISTMAS EVE WITH A MILD AIRMASS AND WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE.
BEST CHANCES FOR HIGHER FOG COVERAGE WILL BE OVER INLAND AREAS, AND
ESPECIALLY THE I-75 CORRIDOR IN NORTHEAST FL.
HIGH TEMPS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S WILL BE COMMON FOR BOTH TUESDAY
AND CHRISTMAS EVE, WITH A FEW READINGS AT OR JUST ABOVE 80 POSSIBLE
OVER INLAND NORTHEAST FL. LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 50S ARE FORECAST
BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE AREA FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK, AS THE SURFACE HIGH SLOWLY DRIFTS OVER THEN SOUTH OF THE AREA
BY THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER BACKDOOR-LIKE COLD FRONT WILL PROVIDE A
GLANCING BLOW ONCE AGAIN AROUND THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY, THOUGH VERY
LITTLE IMPACTS EXPECTED AS IT SKIRTS BY WITH LIMITED AVAILABLE
MOISTURE. DAILY MORNING FOG CHANCES ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF THE WEEK. ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHES THE
REGION SOMETIME BETWEEN SUNDAY AND MONDAY, WITH THIS FRONT LOOKING
LIKE A STRONGER ONE WITH MORE RAINFALL/CONVECTIVE CHANCES. ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST IF NOT ALL OF THE LONG
TERM PERIOD AT THIS TIME, INCLUDING CHRISTMAS DAY WHERE MID TO UPPER
70S WILL BE EXPECTED.
AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THIS EVENING, WITH A FEW COASTAL
SHOWERS. FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT, WITH GREATEST CHANCE
FOR RESTRICTIONS INLAND AT KVQQ AND KGNV. CONDITIONS WILL TREND TO
VFR AT ALL LOCAL TAF SITES MID MORNING TUESDAY, AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON.
MARINE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER OUTER WATERS
THROUGH TUESDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE NORTHEAST OF THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING,
WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. THIS HIGH WILL MOVE
AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT, WITH THE TROUGH DISSIPATING. THE
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL GLANCE BY TO THE NORTHEAST TUESDAY NIGHT. THE
HIGH WILL SINK TO THE SOUTH LATER IN THE WEEK.
RIP CURRENTS: SE GA MODERATE THROUGH TUESDAY
NE FL HIGH TODAY, MODERATE TUESDAY
FIRE WEATHER
..AREAS OF LOW DISPERSIONS TUESDAY
A FEW COASTAL SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY, OTHERWISE DRY WEATHER
WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE MAINLY IN
CONTROL. GENERAL TREND THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WILL BE FAIR TO
GOOD DISPERSIONS ACROSS THE REGION, WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES BEING
OVER INTERIOR SOUTHEAST GA. THE MAIN EXCEPTION WILL BE TUESDAY, AS
AREAS OF LOW/POOR DISPERSIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH VERY WEAK LOW LEVEL
FLOW. NEAR CRTICAL MIN RH VALUES WILL ALSO BE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS
FAR INTERIOR GA.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS: NIGHTLY PATCHY FOG WILL BE
POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY INLAND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 47 74 50 75 / 0 0 0 0
SSI 55 70 54 72 / 10 0 0 0
JAX 53 77 52 77 / 10 0 0 0
SGJ 59 74 54 75 / 10 0 0 0
GNV 54 79 52 80 / 0 0 0 0
OCF 55 79 51 79 / 0 0 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS UNTIL 3 AM EST TUESDAY FOR FLZ124-125-
138-233-333.
GA...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST TUESDAY FOR AMZ470-472-474.
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