460
FXUS62 KJAX 161841
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
141 PM EST FRI JAN 16 2026
KEY MESSAGES
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
- LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES INLAND THIS
AFTERNOON
- AREAS OF FROST POSSIBLE INLAND TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
- RAIN/SNOW MIX POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST GA
- WIDESPREAD FREEZES FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. HARD
FREEZES POSSIBLE FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST GA, LIGHT FREEZES ELSEWHERE
INLAND. FROST POTENTIAL AT COASTAL LOCATIONS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY
NIGHT
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE REGIONAL TERMINALS TODAY, WITH
LIGHT WINDS MAINLY OUT OF THE SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST. CLOUD COVER WILL
START TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH SATURDAY, THOUGH NO
OPERATIONAL CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME FOR THE FORECAST
PERIOD.
MARINE
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ALMOST DIRECTLY OVER AREA WATERS WILL
SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGH TONIGHT, GRADUALLY INDUCING MORE OF A
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WIND. ANOTHER ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL ENTER
THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON, CROSSING OUR
LOCAL WATERS ON SUNDAY MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED
BY SHOWERS THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS ON SUNDAY.
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING,
WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS LIKELY THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING THROUGHOUT OUR LOCAL WATERS. ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL
REMAIN CENTERED TO THE WEST OR NORTHWEST OF OUR REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK, KEEPING BREEZY NORTHWEST TO NORTHERLY WINDS AND
ELEVATED SEAS IN PLACE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN START TO
POSITION NORTH OF OUR WATERS TOWARDS MIDWEEK.
RIP CURRENTS: SE GA LOW SATURDAY
NE FL MODERATE SATURDAY
FIRE WEATHER
- LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY INLAND TODAY
- LOW DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES TODAY FOR NORTH CENTRAL FL AND
THE COASTS
A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS OUR REGION THROUGH THE REST
OF TODAY, WITH LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES
EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING FOR ALL BUT THE IMMEDIATE ATLANTIC
COASTAL COMMUNITIES. LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE EXPECTED TODAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE REGION, COMBOINED WITH THE LIGHT
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL RESULT IN LOW/POOR DISPERSIONS ACROSS MOST OF
NORTHEAST FL. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER OVER INTERIOR
GA, WHERE FAIR DISPERSIONS ARE FORECAST. SOUTHERLY SURFACE AND
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY FOR LOCATIONS
ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 10, CREATING GENERALLY FAIR DAYTIME
DISPERSION VALUES ON SATURDAY DESPITE INCREASING CLOUD COVER. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH AND MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY, BRINGING PERIODS OF RAIN AS WELL AS A POSSIBLE MIX WITH SNOW
OVER FAR INTERIOR GA. A MUCH DRIER AND COOLER AIRMASS WILL MOVE BACK
INTO THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS: A LIGHT INLAND FREEZE AND AREAS OF
FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF THE INTERIOR LATE TONIGHTAND
EARLY ON SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN MAY BRIEFLY MIX WITH SLEET OR LIGHT
SNOW FOR LOCATIONS NORTHWEST OF WAYCROSS ON SUNDAY, WITH NO SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATION CURRENTLY FORECAST. ADDITIONAL HARD INLAND FREEZES ARE
POSSIBLE EARLY ON MONDAY, TUESDAY, AND WEDNESDAY MORNINGS, WITH
LIGHT FREEZES AND FROST POTENTIALLY EXTENDING TO COASTAL LOCATIONS
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 53 33 65 36 / 0 0 10 70
SSI 53 43 65 40 / 0 0 0 50
JAX 56 34 70 41 / 0 0 0 40
SGJ 55 40 69 44 / 0 0 0 30
GNV 57 34 72 44 / 0 0 0 40
OCF 58 33 72 46 / 0 0 0 30
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR
FLZ021-023-024-030-031-035-038-120-124-125-132-136>138-
140-220-225-232-233-236-237-240-322-325-333-340-422-425-
433-522-533-633.
GA...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR
GAZ132>136-149-151>154-162-163-165-166-250-264-350-364.
MARINE...NONE.
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