081
FXUS62 KJAX 191736
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1236 PM EST MON JAN 19 2026
KEY MESSAGES
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
- FREEZES CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. FREEZE WARNING
TONIGHT, FOR ALL BUT COASTAL NE FL. INLAND FREEZE WATCH FOR
TUESDAY NIGHT FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF I10.
- MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK AT NE FL BEACHES TUESDAY
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH TONIGHT WITH
CLEAR SKIES. ANOTHER UNSEASONABLY COLD NIGHT IS FORECAST, WITH A
WIDESPREAD INLAND FREEZE WITH FROST EXPECTED. THE FLOW WILL LARGELY
BE PARALLEL TO THE NE FL COAST OVERNIGHT, HELPING KEEP COASTAL NE FL
COMMUNITIES ABOVE FREEZING.
WITH WINDS STIRRING THROUGH THE NIGHT, WIND CHILLS WILL FALL INTO
THE 25 TO 30 DEGREE RANGE INLAND. A FEW SPOTS MAY REACH THE 25
DEGREE WIND CHILL CRITERIA IN NE FL, BUT NOT ENOUGH COVERAGE
EXPECTED TO WARRANT A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY AT THIS TIME.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
AFTER A CHILLY START AGAIN FROM TUESDAY MORNING, TEMPERATURES WILL
REBOUND BACK INTO THE 50S AND 60S TUESDAY AFTERNOON UNDER INCREASING
HIGH CLOUDS AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE DEVELOPS OVER TX. CONDITIONS ILL
REMAIN DRY AS THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES MOVES OFF
TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST, LEAVING SFC RIDGE BACK OVER THE CAROLINAS
TO NORTHERN PARTS OF GA. WEAK COASTAL TROUGH MAY FORM OFFSHORE BY
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. NOT AS COLD TUESDAY NIGHT/WED MORNING UNDER
CONSIDERABLE HIGH CLOUDS, BUT EXPECT STILL A FREEZE OVER PARTS OF
INLAND SOUTHEAST GA INTO PARTS OF FAR NORTHEAST FL, BUT OTHERWISE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S ELSEWHERE. WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT,
CONSIDERABLE MID-HIGH CLOUDS AS THE AFOREMENTIONED MID/UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL GULF BY THE END OF
WED NIGHT. WHILE CONDITIONS STILL LOOK TOO DRY WITH GENERALLY
INSUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE, WE'LL HAVE POPS TO ABOUT 10 PERCENT
FOR NOW BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THERE MAY BE SOME SPRINKLES & VIRGA
AROUND THE FORECAST AREA. HIGHS WEDNESDAY RISE TO THE 60S TO AROUND
70, AND LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT MODERATE TO THE 40S AND LOWER 50S UNDER
STILL WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING OVER THE LOCAL AREA.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
A LOW CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ON THURSDAY TO THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSES OVER THE FORECAST AREA. CONSIDERABLE
CLOUDINESS STARTS THE DAY, BUT DRIER AIR WILL EVENTUALLY FILTER IN
BY THURSDAY NIGHT WITH SOME CLEARING ANTICIPATED. A WEAK, SHALLOW
COOL FRONT MOVES THROUGH LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT WITH VERY LOW
RAIN CHANCES EXPECTED, AND THE FRONT MAY SLOW ITS SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT
AS A FRONTAL WAVE MOVES THROUGH OVER THE WEEKEND. THERE ARE BETTER
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY, ESPECIALLY NORTH HALF
OF AREA, AS STRONG FORCING DEVELOPS ALOFT AND ANOTHER FRONT
REINFORCES THE COOL AIR OVER THE REGION BY SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
TREND TO BE NEAR AND ABOVE THE SEASONAL AVERAGE THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK AND SATURDAY, BUT COLDER ON SUNDAY TO NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THIS 18Z TAF PERIOD.
MARINE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH TUESDAY, THEN MORE
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY. AN INVERTED TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE COASTAL WATERS WEDNESDAY. THE TROUGH WILL MOVE OFF
TO THE EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING WILL BE IN
PLACE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
RIP CURRENTS: SE GA MODERATE TUESDAY
NE FL MODERATE TUESDAY
FIRE WEATHER
- LOW DAYTIME DISPERSION INLAND SOUTHEAST GA ON WEDNESDAY
DRY AND UNSEASONABLY COOL WEATHER WILL CONTINUE REST OF TODAY WITH
WINDS CONSISTENTLY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH. MINRH VALUES WILL
RANGE WITHIN THE 30S TODAY AND IN THE 20S AND 30S ON TUESDAY WITH
FREEZING CONDITIONS RETURNING DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING
HOURS TUESDAY. NOT QUITE AS COLD TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA FOR
WEDNESDAY AS WIND TURN MORE NORTHEASTERLY. AREAS OF LOW DAYTIME
DISPERSION ARE FORECAST FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST GA ON WEDNESDAY FROM
AROUND WAYCROSS NORTHWESTWARD. AREAS OF LOW DAYTIME DISPERSION ARE
POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY AS WELL.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS: INLAND FREEZES ARE EXPECTED THE
NEXT COUPLE OF MORNINGS. LIGHT FREEZES AND FROST MAY EXTEND TO
COASTAL LOCATIONS TONIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 28 53 28 61 / 0 0 0 0
SSI 35 54 42 60 / 0 0 0 0
JAX 32 57 36 67 / 0 0 0 0
SGJ 37 56 45 68 / 0 0 0 0
GNV 32 60 36 70 / 0 0 0 0
OCF 31 60 37 71 / 0 0 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...FREEZE WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST TUESDAY FOR
FLZ021-023-024-030-031-035-038-120-124-132-136-137-140-
220-232-236-237-240-322-340-422-425-522-533-633.
FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR FLZ023-024-120-322.
GA...FREEZE WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST TUESDAY FOR
GAZ132>136-149-151>154-162-163-165-166-250-264-350-364.
FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR GAZ132>136-149-151>153-162-163-165-250-264-350-364.
MARINE...NONE.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page