556
FXUS62 KJAX 220525
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1225 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2026
KEY MESSAGES
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
- RED FLAG WARNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON & EVENING FOR NE FL, PORTIONS OF
SE GA. WIND GUSTS 25-35 MPH, MIN RH VALUES 25-30%. FIRE WEATHER WATCH
AREA-WIDE MONDAY
- SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY & GALE WARNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
- EXTREME DROUGHT PREVAILS ACROSS MOST OF OUR REGION
- WIDESPREAD FREEZE & LOW WIND CHILL VALUES MON NIGHT & EARLY TUES.
LIGHT FREEZE POTENTIAL SUNDAY NIGHT INLAND
AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
PREVAILING MVFR CEILINGS ARE LIKELY AT ALL OF THE TAF SITES THROUGH
MID-MORNING AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. GNV HAS
THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR DROPPING TO IFR CEILINGS FOR A FEW HOURS
IN THE EARLY MORNING.
SUNDAY, VFR LEVELS RESUME AS THE FRONT WILL EXIT TO THE SOUTHEAST
WITH SKIES CLEARING BY MIDDAY TO EARLY AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL INCREASE FROM 15 KNOTS GUSTING TO 25 KNOTS IN THE LATE MORNING
TO UP TO 20 KNOTS GUSTING TO AROUND 30 KNOTS THROUGH THE REMINDER OF
THE AFTERNOON AS A LOW STRENGTHENS QUICKLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST.
MARINE
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL QUICKLY STRENGTHEN IN THE WAKE OF A FRONTAL
PASSAGE ON SUNDAY WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS QUICKLY
CHANGING TO GALE CONDITIONS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A GALE WARNING IS IN
EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR FREQUENT GUSTS
TO GALE FORCE AS LOW PRESSURE RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS NEAR THE MID-
ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND COASTS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. ARCTIC HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON TUESDAY
AND THEN SHIFT ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA ON TUESDAY NIGHT,
ALLOWING FOR WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH ACROSS OUR LOCAL WATERS. THE
HIGH WILL MOVE OFFSHORE BY MIDWEEK AHEAD OF ANOTHER APPROACHING COLD
FRONT THAT SHOULD IMPACT OUR LOCAL WATERS LATE THIS WEEK, WITH SOUTH
TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS PREVAILING AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK TODAY FOR THE NORTHEAST
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA BEACHES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 61 30 49 25 / 10 0 0 0
SSI 66 34 50 31 / 40 0 0 0
JAX 70 33 53 28 / 40 0 0 0
SGJ 73 36 54 33 / 50 0 0 0
GNV 70 34 55 27 / 30 0 0 0
OCF 71 34 55 27 / 40 0 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING FOR FLZ021-023-024-030-031-035-038-120-124-125-
132-136>138-140-220-225-232-233-236-237-240-322-325-333-
340-422-425-433-522-533-633.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING FOR FLZ021-023-024-030-031-035-038-120-124-125-
132-136>138-140-220-225-232-233-236-237-240-322-325-333-
340-422-425-433-522-533-633.
FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST MONDAY FOR
FLZ023-024-120-220-322.
GA...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING FOR GAZ151-152-162-163-165-166-250-264-350-364.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING FOR GAZ132>136-149-151>154-162-163-165-166-250-
264-350-364.
FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST MONDAY FOR
GAZ132>136-149-151>154-162-163-165-166-250-264-350-364.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR AMZ450-452-454.
GALE WARNING FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR
AMZ450-452-454.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR AMZ470-472-474.
GALE WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR
AMZ470-472-474.
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