961
FXUS62 KJAX 101145
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
745 AM EDT FRI APR 10 2026
KEY MESSAGES
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
- HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THRU THE WEEKEND
- SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND ROUGH SURF THRU TONIGHT
- EXTREME TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONTINUES. DRY & WARMER FRIDAY
THROUGH NEXT WEEK. ELEVATED WILDFIRE DANGER RETURNS THIS WEEKEND
- FOG POTENTIAL RETURNS THIS WEEKEND
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
MAIN HIGHLIGHTS TODAY AND TONIGHT:
- HAZARDS ALONG THE COAST CONTINUE, HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AND
HIGH SURF
THE REGION WILL REMAIN BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST,
AND AN INVERTED TROUGH TO THE SOUTH TODAY. SHOWER CHANCES WILL
DECREASE TODAY, WITH BEST CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWER ALONG THE NE
FL COAST AS NE WINDS REMAIN BREEZY AT 15-20G25-30 MPH ALONG THE
COAST AND NE 10-15G20-25 MPH OVER INLAND AREAS. MAX TEMPS WILL
REBOUND CLOSER TO NORMAL VALUES TODAY IN THE MIDDLE 70S AT THE
ATLANTIC BEACHES TO UPPER 70S ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR AND LOWER 80S
OVER INLAND AREAS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO SETTLE OVER THE
REGION TONIGHT WITH NEAR NORMAL LOWS IN THE 50S INLAND AND AROUND
60F ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. PATCHY/AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPMENT
EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AS WINDS BECOME 5 MPH OR LESS OVER INLAND
AREAS. FOR NOW EXPECT SOME LOCALLY DENSE FOG IN SOME LOCATIONS, BUT
NOT ORGANIZED ENOUGH FOR DENSE FOG ADVISORIES AT THIS TIME.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
MAIN HIGHLIGHTS THIS PERIOD:
- REDUCED WINDS, DRIER & WARMER INTO WEEKEND
- INLAND LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING FOG
DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS ALONG WITH CLEARING SKIES AND BREEZY DIURNAL
EASTERLY WINDS WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS SOUTHWARD AND BECOMES THE DOMINANT FEATURE OVER THE REGION.
POTENTIAL FOR LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING FOG DEVELOPMENTS TO
RETURN DURING THIS PERIOD. DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR THIS WEEKEND
WILL RISE INTO THE LOWER TO MID 80S OVER INLAND AREAS AND INTO THE
MID 70S FOR AREAS ALONG THE COAST. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
DROP DOWN INTO THE MID TO UPPER 50S FOR INLAND AREAS AND IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S NEAR THE SHORELINE.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
MAIN HIGHLIGHTS THIS PERIOD:
- DRY AND PROGRESSIVE WARMING TREND
- ELEVATED TO HIGH WILDFIRE DANGER INLAND
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE REGION
THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGH
INTO THE WEEKEND. PREVAILING FLOW WILL BECOME LESS UNIFORM BY
MIDWEEK AS THE CENTER OF ROTATION DRIFTS IN OVER NORTH FLORIDA.
WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH DAILY HIGH TEMPS
RISING TO BE WELL ABOVE THE SEASONAL AVERAGE AND ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH INTO THE LOWER 90S BY MIDWEEK.
AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
THE 12Z TAF PERIOD BEGINS WITH VFR/MVFR CEILINGS MIX ACROSS THE
AREA TERMINALS WITH NORTH NORTHEAST WINDS 6-10 KNOTS WITH VCSH
AND LIGHT DRIZZLE AT TIMES ALONG THE COAST AND DUVAL COUNTY
SITES. HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST WILL CONTINUE
NORTHEASTERLY ONSHORE FLOW WITH A FEW COASTAL SHOWERS DRIFTING
TO THE COASTAL SITES ON AND OFF, SO HAVE VCSH AT SGJ AND SSI
THROUGH 00Z. BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASE TO 15 GUSTING TO 25
KNOTS ALONG THE COAST AND 12-15 KNOTS INLAND WITH GUSTS IN THE
20-25 KNOT RANGE. WINDS DECREASE AFTER 00Z TO 3-5 KNOTS INLAND
AND AROUND 10 KNOTS AT THE COAST WITH SCATTERED CEILINGS NEAR
4.0 KFT. BY LATE TONIGHT, LOW END MVFR CEILINGS WILL RETURN
ALONG THE COAST IN THE MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WITH SOME PATCHY FOG
INLAND AS WINDS GROW CALM AFTER 05Z-06Z.
MARINE
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST, WITH
AN INVERTED TROUGH TO THE SOUTH. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL SLOWLY
DECREASE TODAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. AS WINDS BEGIN TO DECREASE SEAS
WILL ALSO LOWER THROUGH TODAY BUT ELEVATED SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO
LINGER OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS. THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF TO
THE NORTHEAST OVER THE WEEKEND, AND MORE TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST
NEXT WEEK.
RIP CURRENTS AND SURF:
ONSHORE WINDS WILL KEEP A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY, AND
LIKELY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS ELEVATED SURF AND ONSHORE FLOW
PREVAIL. HIGH SURF OF 6-8 FEET TODAY, WILL LOWER TO 4-6 FEET
SATURDAY AND 3-5 FEET BY SUNDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
- DAILY HIGH INLAND DISPERSION
- CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY INLAND SOUTHEAST GA SATURDAY
BREEZY WINDS WILL REDEVELOP OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TODAY, HOWEVER WIND
SPEEDS WILL BE COMPARATIVELY LESS THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS, ALONG WITH
LESS CLOUD COVER AND REDUCED COASTAL SHOWER ACTIVITY. BY SATURDAY,
AN EXTENDED DRY PERIOD BEGINS WITH PROGRESSIVELY WARMING HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK. AFTERNOON
HUMIDITY VALUES APPROACH CRITICALLY LOW VALUES IN THE AFTERNOON ON
SATURDAY ACROSS INLAND SOUTHEAST GA, INCLUDING THE OKEFENOKEE NWR.
NEXT WEEK, THE DRIER AIRMASS EXTENDS SOUTHWARD ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA.
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, MINIMUM INLAND HUMIDITY OF 25-35% IS
FORECAST WITH DAILY AFTERNOON GULF AND ATLANTIC COAST SEA BREEZES
PRESSES INLAND.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS: INLAND FOG POTENTIAL RETURNS THIS
WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 82 51 85 53 / 0 0 0 0
SSI 74 57 76 62 / 10 0 0 0
JAX 77 56 81 57 / 10 0 0 0
SGJ 76 61 77 62 / 20 10 0 0
GNV 81 55 83 55 / 0 0 0 0
OCF 82 56 83 57 / 0 0 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT FOR FLZ124-125-
138-233-333.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR FLZ124-125-
138-233-333.
GA...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT FOR GAZ154-166.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR AMZ450-
452-454.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR AMZ470-472-
474.
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