802
FXUS62 KJAX 231204
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
804 AM EDT THU APR 23 2026
KEY MESSAGES
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.
- ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TODAY ACROSS INLAND SOUTHEAST GA AND THE
SUWANNEE VALLEY DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF LOW HUMIDITY AND
BREEZY WINDS. PRACTICE WILDFIRE PREVENTION AND AVOID
ACTIVITIES WITH OPEN FLAMES OR SPARKS.
- EXTREME TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONTINUES AREA-WIDE
- DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY THROUGH NOON THURSDAY IN CLINCH & ECHOLS
COUNTIES. SMOKE WILL CAUSE UNHEALTHY AIR QUALITY CHECK
AIRNOW.GOV FOR CURRENT LEVELS
- MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES THROUGH FRIDAY
- ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND
AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/
PATCHY HAZE AND SMOKE THIS EARLY MORNING OTHERWISE VFR AT ALL
TERMINALS THIS MORNING WITH LIGHT WINDS. THE ATLANTIC SEA
BREEZE SHIFTS INLAND AND BLOWS THE SMOKE TOWARD THE WNW. ESE
WINDS AROUND 10 KTS DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE SEA BREEZE AFTER
17Z WITH SOME GUSTS AROUND 15 KNOTS FOR COASTAL TERMINALS.
LIGHTER WINDS THIS EVENING TOWARD SUNSET, WITH CALM WINDS ON TAP
OVERNIGHT WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING. WITH CALM WINDS SOME
TERMINALS MAY HAVE SMOKE AND HAZE, AND WILL HAVE TO SEE IF AND WHAT
FIRE STARTS HAPPEN TODAY TO SEE IF THOSE RESTRICTION TRENDS
OCCUR THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MARINE
HIGH PRESSURE SITUATED ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN SEABOARD WILL
GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND SHIFT SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE NEAR SHORE WATERS EACH
AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY BEHIND THE INLAND MOVING ATLANTIC SEA
BREEZE, WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO SOUTHERLY DURING THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS AND THEN SOUTHWESTERLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
SINK INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES BY SATURDAY EVENING, WITH ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF
THIS BOUNDARY. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS THIS FRONT STALLS NEAR THE
GEORGIA WATERS. THIS FRONT WILL THEN LIFT NORTHWARD EARLY NEXT WEEK
AHEAD OF ANOTHER FRONT THAT WILL APPROACH OUR LOCAL WATERS TOWARDS
THE MIDDLE PORTION OF NEXT WEEK.
RIP CURRENTS:
A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEK AT THE AREA BEACHES, WHERE ONSHORE WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN EACH
AFTERNOON, WITH SURF HEIGHTS OF 2-4 FEET.
FIRE WEATHER
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS TODAY FOR INLAND NORTHEAST
- FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES OVER INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
- PORTIONS OF INLAND NORTHEAST FLORIDA
- AREAS OF HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSIONS TODAY
- WIDESPREAD HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSIONS
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST TODAY WITH DRY FUELS AND MIN RH VALUES
BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS OVER PORTIONS OF INLAND NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
ALL OF INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA CREATING ELEVATED FIRE DANGER
CONDITIONS SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY. LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL TURN
EASTERLY BEHIND THE ATLANTIC SEABREEZE PASSAGE AS IT MOVES TO I-75
BY LATE AFTERNOON WITH HIGH MIXING HEIGHTS AND MODERATE TRANSPORT
WINDS CREATING AREAS OF HIGH DISPERSIONS THIS AFTERNOON.
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IS LIKELY FRIDAY WITH CRITICALLY LOW MIN RH
VALUES OVER INLAND SOUTHEAST GA AND PORTIONS OF INLAND NORTHEAST FL.
AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE AREA, SOUTHERLY FLOW TURNS
SOUTHEASTERLY BEHIND THE ATLANTIC SEABREEZE WITH THE GULF SEABREEZE
SHIFTING INLAND TO HIGHWAY 301 WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS BEHIND. AN
APPROACHING FRONT WILL CREATE SOUTHWEST FLOW SATURDAY OVER THE AREA
WITH THE ATLANTIC SEABREEZE PINNED NEAR I-95. TRANSPORT WINDS A
LITTLE HIGHER AND HIGH MIXING HEIGHTS LEAD TO HIGH DISPERSIONS AGAIN
SATURDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND T'STORMS ON SATURDAY
WITH BRING A WETTING RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WITH LIGHTER
AMOUNTS NEAR I-10. LIGHTNING ACTIVITY FROM T'STORMS COULD PROVIDE
POTENTIAL FOR LIGHTNING STARTED WILDFIRE ACTIVITY.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS: DENSE SMOKE WILL CONTINUE TO
PERSIST ACROSS CLINCH AND ECHOLS COUNTY DUE TO THE PINELAND RD
WILDFIRE THROUGH MIDDAY TODAY BETWEEN US HIGHWAY 84 AND STATE
HIGHWAY 94. A DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON FOR
CLINCH AND ECHOLS COUNTY. THREAT FOR DENSE SMOKE MAY CONTINUE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT NEAR AND DOWNWIND OF WILDFIRES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 86 56 88 60 / 0 0 10 0
SSI 79 64 82 64 / 0 0 10 0
JAX 83 59 88 60 / 0 0 10 0
SGJ 79 61 84 62 / 0 0 10 0
GNV 85 57 89 58 / 0 0 10 0
OCF 85 58 87 60 / 0 0 10 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR GAZ162-163.
MARINE...NONE.
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