400
FXUS62 KJAX 310144
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
944 PM EDT SAT MAY 30 2026
KEY MESSAGES
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
- MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES TODAY
- WAVES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
WIDESPREAD 1-3 RAINFALL TOTALS FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY, WITH
LOCALIZED TOTALS. DAILY MARGINAL RISK OF FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IN
URBAN AND FLOOD-PRONE AREAS
UPDATE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE LARGELY ENDED ACROSS THE AREA, A
LITTLE EARLIER THAN EXPECTED WITH EXCEPTION OF A BAND OF SHOWERS
THAT HAVE FORMED ALONG A BOUNDARY NEAR FERNANDINA BEACH/AMELIA
ISLAND INTO THE COASTAL WATERS WHERE A LITTLE INSTABILITY LINGERED
FROM THIS AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE, A MILD NIGHT IS EXPECTED WITH LOW IN THE LOW 70S INLAND
WITH A FEW SPOTS JUST BELOW 70 OVER SE GA AND WARMING TO THE MID 70S
ALONG THE COAST. PATCHY FOG AND LOW STRATUS WILL DEVELOP WHERE
PARTIAL CLEARING AND CALM WINDS OVERLAP (MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF
I-10 INTO SE GA) AS A FRONT WEAKENS OVER THE AREA TONIGHT WITH
ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVING FROM THE NORTH LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
VFR CEILINGS ACROSS THE TAF SITES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 06Z ALONG
WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS
ACROSS THE AREA WITH A LULL IN SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT AWAY FROM THE
COAST WITH LOW CEILINGS DEVELOPING AT VQQ AND GNV AFTER 06Z WITH
TEMPO RESTRICTIONS FOR LIFR/VLIFR CEILINGS BELOW 0.5 KFT FROM 08Z TO
12Z. LIGHT WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS PERSIST AROUND 5 KNOTS NEAR THE
COAST TURNING CALM INLAND AFTER 06Z.
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL DISSIPATE BY SUNDAY MORNING AS ANOTHER
FRONT MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH AND SINKS INTO THE GA COAST WITH
SHOWERS INCREASING AFTER 14Z. AS THE FRONT MOVES SOUTH ALONG THE
COAST, WINDS WILL TURN FROM WESTERLY TO EAST NORTHEASTERLY 6-10
KNOTS AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE MOVES FROM THE MID ATLANTIC STATES TO
THE NC COAST, WHILE INLAND WINDS REMAIN WESTERLY. AFTER 18Z, STRONG
DIURNAL HEATING WILL PROMPT VCTS WITH SHRA AT SSI WITH EARLIER FRONT
ARRIVAL. PROB30 GROUPS FOR MVFR CEILINGS AND IFR VISIBILITIES FROM
HEAVY DOWNPOURS.
MARINE
A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY SITUATED OVER THE GEORGIA WATERS WILL
DISSIPATE TONIGHT WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
MIDNIGHT. ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
STATES ON SUNDAY MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHWARD FROM THE
GREAT LAKES AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES. ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
AS THIS FRONT STALLS OVER OUR AREA BEFORE A STRONGER COLD FRONT
PUSHES SOUTHWARD ACROSS OUR LOCAL WATERS ON TUESDAY NIGHT.
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL SURGE IN THE WAKE OF THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE
ON TUESDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE OHIO AND
TENNESSEE VALLEYS WEDGES DOWN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEABOARD, CREATING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH AT
LEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGHOUT OUR LOCAL WATERS. BREEZY ONSHORE
WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS HIGH
PRESSURE GRADUALLY WEAKENS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES.
RIP CURRENTS: A LOW TO LOCALLY MODERATE RISK TODAY WITH SURF OF
LIKELY TO BE BELOW 2 FT WITH BUOYS SHOWING 1.5 FT SEAS. THERE IS A
LINGERING WIND-SEA SWELLS OF ABOUT 9 SECONDS. THE RISK MAY BEGIN TO
RISE BACK UP TO MODERATE TO LOCALLY HIGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO
MONDAY DUE TO ONSHORE FLOW AND INCREASED SURF.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 70 82 68 85 / 50 90 50 40
SSI 74 84 74 86 / 40 80 70 70
JAX 72 87 72 89 / 50 90 60 60
SGJ 74 87 73 89 / 40 80 40 70
GNV 73 89 72 89 / 20 60 30 70
OCF 73 88 74 88 / 40 60 40 60
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
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