850
FXUS62 KJAX 011720
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
120 PM EDT MON JUN 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
- ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON &
EVENING WITH POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING
- STRENGTHENING NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ON TUESDAY NIGHT &
WEDNESDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS LIKELY TUESDAY
NIGHT - WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS AT AREA
BEACHES WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
MAIN HIGHLIGHTS THIS PERIOD:
- A COUPLE OF STRONGER STORMS POSSIBLE IN NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS
AFTERNOON
PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE LOW OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA TODAY AS NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
BRINGS IN DRIER AIR (PWATS NEAR 1.5"). ALONG AND SOUTH OF WHERE THE
FRONT SITS (SOUTH OF JACKSONVILLE), PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE AT
ABOUT 30-60% THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, HIGHER AS YOU GO SOUTHWARD
TOWARDS NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA. LESS MOISTURE AND INCREASED WINDS
TODAY WILL LIMIT THE LOCALIZED FLOODING POTENTIAL WE'VE SEEN THE
PAST FEW DAYS AND EXPECT TOMORROW, BUT WE CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW
STRONGER STORMS PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID 80S FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA, AND UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S ELSEWHERE. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S WITH PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE AGAIN
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING NEAR NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
MODELS AND CURRENT OBSERVATIONS HAVE BEEN TRENDING PRECIPITATION
CHANCES DOWNWARDS AREA-WIDE, SO HAVE OPTED TO REMOVE THE MENTION OF
THUNDER FROM THE DUVAL SITES AND GNV THIS AFTERNOON. BEST CHANCE FOR
A STORM WILL BE AT SGJ, ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH. MVFR
CEILINGS CONTINUE ON AND OFF AT THE DUVAL SITES THIS AFTERNOON, BUT
OVERALL THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE WITH POTENTIAL
BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR. STORM CHANCES INCREASE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.
MARINE
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE WATERS TODAY, AND THEN
DISSIPATE. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA WATERS
ON TUESDAY, FOLLOWED BY STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST WINDS IN THE
WAKE OF THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE, CREATING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY
MORNING THROUGHOUT OUR LOCAL WATERS. BREEZY ONSHORE WINDS AND
ELEVATED SEAS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS HIGH
PRESSURE GRADUALLY WEAKENS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES.
OTHERWISE, ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TODAY
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS
EXPECTED AT TIMES.
RIP CURRENTS: GENERALLY LOW TO LOW END MODERATE RISK FOR TODAY.
LOOKING AT INCREASED RISK TO MODERATE AND HIGH FROM TUESDAY AND INTO
WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLY THURSDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
- PATCHY TO AREAS OF HIGH AFTERNOON DISPERSIONS THIS WEEK
A FRONTAL ZONE WILL KEEP AREA WEATHER UNSETTLED THROUGH TUESDAY. THE
FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTH TUESDAY NIGHT, WITH LOWER CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING WILL PROVIDE FOR
LARGELY DRY WEATHER FOR THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS: PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
MORNING. ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS THE AREA, THEN
MAINLY FOR NE FL WEDNESDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 86 69 86 59 / 10 20 90 50
SSI 87 75 85 70 / 20 10 90 80
JAX 88 72 89 67 / 20 0 90 90
SGJ 89 74 90 70 / 50 10 80 100
GNV 90 73 92 67 / 40 10 70 90
OCF 90 74 90 70 / 70 20 60 90
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page