991
FXUS64 KSHV 150339
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
939 PM CST THU NOV 14 2024
..NEW UPDATE
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 939 PM CST THU NOV 14 2024
THE EVENING SFC ANALYSIS INDICATES SFC RIDGING ANCHORED FROM THE
MID-MS VALLEY S INTO THE FOUR STATE REGION. GIVEN THE CRYSTAL
CLEAR SKY AND LIGHT WINDS, STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING IS UNDERWAY,
AND WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT ALLOWING TEMPS TO FALL INTO THE MID 30S
NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH. PATCHY FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE
TEMPS WILL BE COLDEST ACROSS SE OK, MUCH OF SW AR, AND THE FAR NRN
PARISHES OF N LA, WHICH IS COVERED WELL IN THE GOING FORECAST.
THUS, NO CHANGES WERE NEEDED THIS EVENING, AS THE CURRENT FORECAST
IS IN GREAT SHAPE.
15
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 517 PM CST THU NOV 14 2024
FAIRLY STRAIGHTFORWARD TAF PACKAGE THIS EVENING AS VFR REMAINS
ACROSS ALL LOCAL TERMINALS. SKC WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AIRSPACE
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT AND WELL INTO FRIDAY. VRB WINDS ARE
PREVAILED TO START, BUT WILL TURN MORE N/NE TOMORROW AFTERNOON,
GENERALLY BETWEEN 3-5KT. HI-RES SURFACE VISIBILITY PRODUCTS THIS
AFTERNOON HAVE BEEN BULLISH ON THE IDEA OF FG/BR DEVELOPMENT AT
OR NEAR MLU/ELD SHORTLY AFTER 00Z. CONFIDENCE FALLS SOMEWHERE IN
THE MIDDLE WITH THIS FOR NOW, BUT HAVE ELECTED TO TEMPO IN FOR
THIS PACKAGE TO INTRODUCE THE CHANCE. IF THIS FAIL TO MATERIALIZE,
IT WILL LIKELY BE REMOVED IN THE 06Z PACKAGE.
KNAPP
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 43 74 47 77 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 42 71 42 74 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 36 69 38 70 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 40 70 43 73 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 37 71 40 73 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 43 73 46 76 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 40 72 43 76 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 43 72 46 77 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
SHORT TERM...15
AVIATION...53
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