866
FNUS74 KSHV 182024
FWSSHV
SPOT FORECAST FOR KRD 28/41...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
224 PM CST WED DEC 18 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CST ON DECEMBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (318) 631-3669 EXT. 241, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS FELL AT THE PRESCRIBED BURN LOCATION TODAY,
WITH A TOTAL OF 0.05 INCHES MEASURED AT THE NATCHITOCHES RAWS AS OF
2 PM TODAY. WHILE THE RAIN HAS ENDED TODAY, CLOUD COVER WILL
REMAIN ABUNDANT THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT BEFORE CLEARING OUT
BY/AFTER DAYBREAK THURSDAY. HOWEVER, 20FT WINDS WILL BE VERY LIGHT
THROUGH THE DAY, AVERAGING AROUND 3-5 MPH (2-3 M/S) BEFORE GOING CALM BY
SUNSET. AMPLE SUNSHINE AND THE DRIER RH'S THURSDAY WILL ALLOW FOR
DRYING OF THE LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS TODAY, WITH A SECONDARY COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE FRIDAY RESULTING IN STRONGER NORTHERLY 20FT WINDS
AND LOWER MIN RH'S FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. 20FT
WINDS SHOULD INCREASE TO 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH, WITH MIN
RH'S FALLING TO 35-40%. 20FT AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL DIMINISH
CONSIDERABLY SATURDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 62.
RH..................96 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTH AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2300 FT
AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1300 METERS AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 335-701
METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST AROUND 4 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....16 DECREASING TO 7 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........52 34 33 22 19 24 18 21 16 13 6 8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 43 44 48 51 54 57 59 60 61 59 57
RH..............96 100 96 86 77 69 62 55 53 51 55 62
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 7 7 7 6 5 5 6 6 6 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.0 1.5
MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE N N N N N N N NW N
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 10 9 9 7 6 6 5 6 6 6
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE NE N N N N N N N NW N
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 3 3 3
DISPERSION IDX..16 17 18 18 17 16 16 17 18 17 13 7
LVORI...........5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-396 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 8 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHWEST 1 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........11 8 4 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............52 49 47 46 45 45 44 43 43 42 41 41
RH..............74 86 89 89 93 93 93 96 93 96 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
20 FT WIND GUST.4 2 2 2 2 4 4 5 5 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 3 3 3 3 5 6 6 7 8 8 8
TRANS WIND DIR..N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 4 4 4
DISPERSION IDX..3 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 5 7
LVORI...........3 4 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63.
RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-1036 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 18 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH 4 TO 8 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 27 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 44 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 59 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 72
DECREASING TO 50 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 26.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........9 5 4 7 4 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............40 46 53 61 63 58
RH..............100 89 66 44 38 44
20 FT WIND......NW 2 NW 3 NW 7 N 11 N 12 N 12
20 FT WIND GUST.7 10 12 17 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.5 1.4 2.8 3.4 2.5
MIX HGT (M).....90 150 430 850 1040 760
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8 N 10 N 14 N 17 N 18 N 16
TRAN WIND (M/S).NW 4 N 4 N 6 N 8 N 8 N 7
DISPERSION IDX..8 8 27 59 74 50
LVORI...........8 5 3 1 1 2
FORECASTER...HANSFORD
REQUESTED BY...BLAKE CREAGAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2428743.0/SHV
.DELDT 12/18/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26
.EMAIL JASON.FRENCH@USDA.GOV,BLAKE.CREAGAN@USDA.GOV,STEVEN.STAPLES@USDA.GOV,
DUSTIN.DILL@USDA.GOV
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