143
FXUS64 KSHV 141005
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
405 AM CST TUE JAN 14 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SHORT TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 357 AM CST TUE JAN 14 2025
DRY AND NEAR-SEASONABLE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION. THIS IS DUE TO
SURFACE RIDGING CENTERED OVER THE AREA THAT WILL SHIFT EASTWARD,
KEEPING WINDS LIGHT IN THE PROCESS. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN
ZONAL FLOW WILL PRODUCE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN FAR SOUTHERN ZONES
TOMORROW INTO THE EVENING, HOWEVER, TEMPERATURE MAXIMUMS/MINIMUMS
WILL REMAIN NEAR-NORMAL IN THE 50S/UPPER 30S RESPECTIVELY. /16/
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 357 AM CST TUE JAN 14 2025
A GRADUAL WARM-UP WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE NEXT CHANCES
OF PRECIPITATION ARRIVE. TROUGHING OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST
WILL EXIT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS LATE ON FRIDAY TO
DELIVER A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AREAWIDE AHEAD OF THE STRONG COLD
FRONT ARRIVING ON SATURDAY. LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
SUGGEST THE ARRIVAL OF ANOTHER ARCTIC AIR MASS BEHIND THIS FRONT
(1040+ MB INTENSITY) WITH WIDESPREAD BELOW-FREEZING TEMPERATURES
RETURNING BY THE END OF THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
(PROBABILITIES NEAR OR ABOVE 60 PERCENT BY NEXT SUNDAY NIGHT).
UNCERTAINTY REMAINS MUCH HIGHER ON ANY WINTRY PRECIPITATION
CHANCES IN THE AREA BY THEN AT THIS TIME. /16/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1055 PM CST MON JAN 13 2025
FOR THE 14/06Z TAF PERIOD...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE,
WITH PASSING MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW.
WINDS WILL RANGE FROM LIGHT/VARIABLE TO ESE BETWEEN 5 TO 7 MPH
THROUGH THE PERIOD. /20/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 357 AM CST TUE JAN 14 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 55 36 57 35 / 0 0 0 10
MLU 54 34 56 33 / 0 0 0 10
DEQ 51 28 52 27 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 54 32 55 32 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 55 29 55 29 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 57 37 57 36 / 0 0 10 10
GGG 56 35 57 34 / 0 0 10 10
LFK 57 42 56 36 / 0 0 10 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...20
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