129
FXUS64 KSHV 192337
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
537 PM CST WED FEB 19 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 211 PM CST WED FEB 19 2025
CLEARING CLOUD COVER OVER SE OK AND NE TX IS PRESENT ON CURRENT
SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS CLEARING WILL GENERALLY INCREASE ACROSS
THE REGION TO THE SOUTHEAST, BUT SKIES WILL NOT BE MOSTLY CLEAR UNTIL
LATE THURSDAY MORNING. IN THE MEANTIME, THE CONTINUING GUSTY
WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES HAVE PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF A COLD
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT THROUGH 9AM THURSDAY. WIND CHILLS
WILL RANGE FROM NEAR-ZERO UP NORTH TO THE MID TEENS SOUTH OF I-20.
THURSDAY WILL BE GENERALLY WARMER, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOW 40S. ANOTHER COLD WEATHER ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY
THURSDAY NIGHT, DESPITE THE CALMER WINDS EXPECTED. REGIONAL WIND
CHILLS WILL BE IN THE 20S AND STILL MEET ADVISORY CRITERIA. THIS
ADVISORY WILL BE LOOKED INTO BY A FUTURE SHIFT. /57/
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 211 PM CST WED FEB 19 2025
WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY, BEFORE BECOMING MORE SEASONAL SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES INTO THE REGION LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY FROM LONG RANGE GUIDANCE ON THE LOCATION
OF THE ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION, WITH THE INITIAL THOUGHT BEING
THAT RAIN WOULD MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON SATURDAY
MORNING. DUE TO THE COLDER TEMPERATURES IN SW AR, THERE IS THE
POSSIBILITY OF WINTRY PRECIP IF THE RAINFALL MOVES THAT FAR
NORTHEAST. FUTURE FORECASTS WILL BE FOCUSED ON NARROWING DOWN THE
LOCATION OF THE PRECIPITATION AND THE SUBSEQUENT CHANCE OF WINTER
PRECIP OCCURRING. REGARDLESS, RAIN CHANCES WILL END BY SUNDAY
EVENING, BRINGING DRIER AND WARMER CONDITIONS FOR NEXT WEEK. /57/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 525 PM CST WED FEB 19 2025
FOR THE 20/00Z TAFS, THE STUBBORN OVC MVFR CLOUD DECK CONTINUES
TO GRADUALLY RECEDE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, WITH BKN TO SCT SKIES IN
ITS WAKE. TERMINALS ALONG THE I-20 CORRIDOR LOOK TO SEE HEIGHT
IMPROVEMENT IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS, CONTINUING FOR AIRSPACE
FURTHER SOUTH OVERNIGHT. BY 20/12Z, SCT HIGH CLOUDS TO SKC
CONDITIONS LOOK TO PREVAIL AREAWIDE, WITH VFR CONTINUING THROUGH
THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. NORTH WINDS WILL PERSIST AT
SPEEDS OF 5 TO 10 KTS OVERNIGHT, BECOMING LIGHTER AND
NORTHEASTERLY INTO THE DAY TOMORROW, WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 KTS
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NIGHT.
/26/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 548 AM CST WED FEB 19 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 20 37 21 40 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 19 34 20 40 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 12 35 18 38 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 16 36 20 40 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 13 34 17 39 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 17 37 23 39 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 18 38 21 40 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 22 41 24 40 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CST
THURSDAY FOR ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073.
LA...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CST
THURSDAY FOR LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022.
OK...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CST
THURSDAY FOR OKZ077.
TX...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CST
THURSDAY FOR TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-
165>167.
SHORT TERM...57
LONG TERM....57
AVIATION...26
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