864
FXUS64 KSHV 260926
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
426 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SHORT TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 405 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2025
LINGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL TAPER OFF AFTER SUNSET
TODAY ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION, GIVING WAY TO SLIGHTLY WARMER
THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS. THIS ONGOING ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
SHORTWAVE MOVING ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.
CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WILL LINGER OVERNIGHT, MODERATING
TEMPERATURE MINIMUMS INTO THE UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S AND TEMPERATURE
MAXIMUMS TOMORROW TO THE UPPER 70S/LOWER 80S. /16/
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 405 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2025
MORE ACTIVE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION
WITH DAILY CHANCES OF RAIN THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. RIDGING OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST
IS STARTING TO BREAK DOWN AND SHIFT EAST. BY TOMORROW IT WILL
DISPLACE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND ALLOW SOME TROUGHING TO
UNDERCUT IT TO THE SOUTH ACROSS TEXAS. THIS TROUGHING WILL DRIVE
CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY BEFORE
THE NEXT APPRECIABLE BREAK FROM ACTIVITY ARRIVES ON MONDAY. ZONAL
FLOW RETURNS EARLY NEXT WEEK AFTER ANOTHER MORE SUBSTANTIAL TROUGH
(WITH ATTENDANT FRONTAL BOUNDARY) PASSES NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE
MIDWEST. ACCOUNTING FOR THE PRESENCE OR ABSENCE OF PRECIPITATION,
THE MEAN OF TEMPERATURE MAXIMUMS/MINIMUMS WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S/UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S,
RESPECTIVELY. /16/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2025
DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL FOR ALL SITES EARLY THIS MORNING. WE DO
HAVE SOME ELEVATED CEILINGS MOVING SOUTH OF I-20 THAT CAN BE SEEN
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. AS MORE ISOLATED STORMS POP UP IN THE FWD
FORECAST AREA, MORE OF THESE CEILINGS WILL FLOW INTO OUR AREA. CEILINGS
WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD ACROSS MOST OF THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE CWA AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES WITH INCOMING RAIN, BUT REMAIN
VFR. KTXK WILL SEE THE FIRST SURROUNDING RAIN SHOWERS, WITH OTHER
SITES FOLLOWING IN SUBSEQUENT HOURS. RIGHT NOW, IT DOESN'T LOOK
LIKE SHOWERS WILL MAKE IT AS FAR SOUTH AS KLFK. HEAVIER POCKETS
OF RAIN COULD HAVE SOME THUNDER AND CAUSE SHORT PERIODS OF HIGH-
END MVFR VISIBILITIES. AFTER THE RAIN MOVES OUT, VFR CEILINGS WILL
LIKELY HOLD ON THROUGH MOST OF THE REST OF THE PERIOD. /57/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 405 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 77 60 80 63 / 50 0 10 30
MLU 74 58 82 63 / 40 0 0 10
DEQ 74 53 79 57 / 50 10 10 40
TXK 73 58 80 62 / 60 10 10 30
ELD 73 54 82 60 / 50 0 0 10
TYR 81 61 76 63 / 30 0 30 60
GGG 80 59 78 61 / 40 0 20 50
LFK 85 61 76 62 / 10 0 20 60
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...57
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