559
FXUS64 KSHV 290557 AAA
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1257 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025
..NEW AVIATION
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 743 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
QUICK UPDATE TO CANCEL TORNADO WATCH 66. HOWEVER, ADDITIONAL
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS CAN'T BE RULED OUT DURING THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT PERIOD AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING
ACROSS THE RED RIVER VALLEY OF NORTH TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.
/20/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1257 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025
AREAS OF SHRA CONTINUE ACROSS LOWER TOLEDO BEND COUNTRY INTO MUCH
OF N LA/SRN AR, ALONG AND AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH THAT WILL CONTINUE
TO DRIFT E OVER THE AREA THROUGH MIDDAY SATURDAY. VARIOUS MVFR CIGS HAVE
DEVELOPED OVER THESE AREAS, WHILE IFR CIGS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER MUCH OF E TX
WHERE THE AREAS OF RA HAVE ENDED. THUS, AS THESE SHRA CONTINUE TO SHIFT E
AND SLOWLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT, CIGS WILL LOWER/BECOME IFR OVER N LA/SRN AR
BY OR PRIOR TO DAYBREAK, AND PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING BEFORE
SLOWLY LIFTING FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON. WHILE SOME EMBEDDED
TSRA WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT WITH THESE AREAS OF SHRA, LOW CONFIDENCE
PRECLUDES MENTION IN THE N LA/ELD TERMINALS ATTM. MVFR CIGS WILL EVENTUALLY
RETURN TO THE REGION BY/AFTER 17Z OVER E TX/WRN LA, AND ELSEWHERE ACROSS
N LA/SRN AR BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON, BEFORE EVENTUALLY LIFTING INTO LOW VFR
CIGS. ISOLATED CONVECTION MAY REDEVELOP EVENING THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON OVER
PORTIONS OF NCNTRL LA/SCNTRL AR, BUT HAVE OMITTED MENTION FOR NOW IN THE TAFS.
THE CIGS SHOULD SCATTER OUT BY MID-AFTERNOON OVER E TX, AND ELSEWHERE
BY/AFTER 00Z MONDAY, BEFORE LOW MVFR CIGS BEGIN TO DEVELOP BY LATE EVENING
OVER DEEP E TX/NCNTRL LA AND SPREAD N INTO THE REGION BY THE END OF THE 06Z
TAF PERIOD THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. SSE WINDS 5-10KTS OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME
S 7-12KTS AFTER 15Z. /15/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 700 AM CDT THU MAR 27 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON FOR ISOLATED
STRONG STORMS THAT MAY DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS
AND NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 64 82 67 84 / 70 30 0 30
MLU 65 78 66 84 / 80 80 10 20
DEQ 60 80 62 82 / 70 20 40 40
TXK 64 81 67 83 / 80 30 20 40
ELD 61 79 63 83 / 90 70 10 30
TYR 63 82 67 82 / 40 0 10 30
GGG 62 82 66 84 / 70 10 0 30
LFK 63 83 66 84 / 60 20 0 30
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
SHORT TERM...20
AVIATION...15
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