932
FXUS64 KSHV 282336
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
636 PM CDT WED MAY 28 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 255 PM CDT WED MAY 28 2025
ONGOING CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO PERCOLATE MOSTLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR WITH SOME HIGH-RESOLUTION GUIDANCE
SUGGESTING A NEW BATCH OF STORMS THIS EVENING THAT DRIFT INTO
NORTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLATED
STREET FLOODING CAN'T BE RULED OUT WITH SOME PWAT VALUES
APPROACHING 1.5 INCHES. WITH ALL OF THIS OVERNIGHT ACTIVITY,
OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY FALL INTO THE UPPER 60S/LOWER
70S. /16/
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 255 PM CDT WED MAY 28 2025
THE SEASONALLY PESKY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL BE DISPLACED BY
RIDGING LATER THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A RIDGE AXIS
BUILDS IN FROM NORTHERN MEXICO ACROSS TEXAS. AS IT DOES SO, UPPER-
LEVEL TROUGHING WILL TRANSIT ITS PERIPHERY, DELIVERING A GLANCING
BLOW WITH CONVECTION ACROSS OKLAHOMA ZONES ON TUESDAY (WITH SOME
CONVECTION POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY). OTHERWISE, LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS THAT THIS IS THE BEGINNING OF A NEW WEATHER PATTERN INTO
MID-JUNE. /16/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 627 PM CDT WED MAY 28 2025
FOR THE 29/00Z TAFS, ONGOING SHOWERS ACROSS DEEP EAST TEXAS AND
NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT, BRINGING
LIKELY IMPACTS TO KLFK, KSHV AND KMLU, WITH IMPACTS POSSIBLE
FURTHER NORTH AND WEST. FOR THE MOST PART, THESE WILL BE LIGHT TO
MODERATE SHOWERS, BUT A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER CANNOT BE RULED
OUT. MVFR CIGS THIS EVENING WILL DETERIORATE TO IFR OVERNIGHT,
AND ONLY GRADUALLY IMPROVE DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS TOMORROW.
VSBYS MAY BE BRIEFLY IMPACTED BY POCKETS OF LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL. SOUTH WINDS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT OVERNIGHT,
TRANSITIONING TO SOUTHWESTERLY AND WESTERLY THROUGH THE DAY
TOMORROW AT SUSTAINED SPEEDS NOT MUCH EXCEEDING 5 KTS WITH GUSTS,
IF ANY, OF UP TO 10 KTS.
/26/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1043 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY WITH THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE EVENING AND AFTER SUNSET. /16/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 70 87 70 83 / 50 40 30 10
MLU 68 85 70 82 / 60 60 30 20
DEQ 63 83 59 81 / 10 40 20 0
TXK 67 85 65 83 / 20 40 30 10
ELD 64 84 64 82 / 30 50 40 10
TYR 68 86 67 81 / 40 20 30 10
GGG 66 86 66 82 / 40 30 30 10
LFK 67 87 70 83 / 50 40 30 20
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...26
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