193
FXUS64 KSHV 291802 AAA
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
102 PM CDT THU MAY 29 2025
..NEW AVIATION
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1058 AM CDT THU MAY 29 2025
AS OF 10:45 AM CDT, CLOUD COVER FROM PREVIOUS UPSTREAM CONVECTION
CONTINUES TO DRIFT SOUTHEASTWARD INTO OUR NORTHERN ZONES,
YIELDING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES FOR THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL
RESPOND ACCORDINGLY, RISING INTO THE MID-TO-UPPER 80S. WITH
WEATHER AND OBSERVED TRENDS CONTINUING AS ANTICIPATED, ADDITIONAL
FORECAST AND HAZARD GRID ADJUSTMENTS WERE NOT NECESSARY AT THIS
TIME. /16/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 102 PM CDT THU MAY 29 2025
CIGS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO LIFT THIS MORNING, WITH MVFR CIGS EXPECTED
TO HANG ON THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE RETURNING TO VFR WITH A
SCATTERED/BROKEN CU FIELD. ISOLATED CONVECTION CAN'T BE RULE OUT
BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING MAINLY OVER PORTIONS OF NE TX/SW
AR/NW LA, BUT LOW CONFIDENCE PRECLUDES MENTION IN THE TERMINALS
ATTM. THE CU SHOULD SCATTER OUT BY 00Z, ALTHOUGH THE APPROACH OF A
WEAK COLD FRONT FROM OK AND THE OZARKS WILL RESULT IN LOWERING
CU/STRATOCU CIGS NEAR AND BEHIND THE FRONT LATE THIS EVENING
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX THAT WILL
DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON OVER NW TX WILL SHIFT SE ALONG THE RED
RIVER VALLEY ACROSS N TX LATE THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT, WITH
PORTIONS OF THIS CONVECTION BRIDGING E ALONG/JUST BEHIND THE FRONT
AS IT ENTERS NE TX/SW AR SHORTLY AFTER 06Z FRIDAY. THIS CONVECTION
WILL SHIFT SE AND WEAKEN OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE REGION, ALTHOUGH
CIGS WILL QUICKLY LOWER/BECOME LOW MVFR/IFR FROM NW TO SE ALONG/N
OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR BY DAYBREAK. THESE LOWER CIGS WILL QUICKLY
SPREAD S INTO DEEP E TX/CNTRL LA BETWEEN 12-15Z, IMPROVING FROM N
TO S ACROSS THE AREA BY MID AND LATE MORNING. THUS, VFR CONDITIONS
WILL RETURN ACROSS SW AR/EXTREME NE TX BY MID/LATE MORNING, AND
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION BY AFTERNOON. SW WINDS AROUND
5KTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME LT/VRB AFTER 00Z, BEFORE BECOMING
N 6-9KTS WITH THE FROPA LATE TONIGHT/AROUND DAYBREAK FRIDAY. /15/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 417 AM CDT THU MAY 29 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 87 71 84 64 / 10 20 10 0
MLU 86 70 82 63 / 20 10 20 0
DEQ 83 61 81 56 / 30 30 0 0
TXK 85 66 82 60 / 20 30 10 0
ELD 84 64 81 59 / 20 30 10 0
TYR 86 68 81 61 / 10 30 10 0
GGG 86 67 82 60 / 10 30 10 0
LFK 88 70 85 64 / 10 20 20 0
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 87 71 84 64 / 10 20 10 0
MLU 86 70 82 63 / 20 10 20 0
DEQ 83 61 81 56 / 30 30 0 0
TXK 85 66 82 60 / 20 30 10 0
ELD 84 64 81 59 / 20 30 10 0
TYR 86 68 81 61 / 10 30 10 0
GGG 86 67 82 60 / 10 30 10 0
LFK 88 70 85 64 / 10 20 20 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
SHORT TERM...16
AVIATION...15
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