180
FXUS64 KSHV 130604 AAA
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
104 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2025
..NEW AVIATION
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 845 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2025
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO OUR GOING FORECAST ASIDE FROM THE EXPIRATION
OF OUR FLOOD WATCH EARLIER THIS EVENING. THE DAY HAS BEEN SHIELDED
FROM A SECOND HEAVY DAY OF NOCTURNAL LEFTOVERS. WE MANAGED TO KEEP
CLOUDY WITH GREATER STABILITY AND COOL HIGHS FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. THINGS ARE DIFFERENT NOW THAT THE SUN HAS SET. IN FACT RADAR
CAME ALIVE WITH TAILS ON DEPARTING STRANDS LIFTING INTO ARKANSAS.
BOTH TEXARKANA AND EL DORADO SAW BRIEF DOWNPOURS WITH THESE SPOKE
AXIS'S. THE UPPER LOW IS OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND MUCH OF THE
AREA REMAINS SOAKED IN MUGGY AIR ALL THE WAY UP TO 19KFT WHERE AN
INVERSION AND SPEED SHIFT HAS WARMER TEMPS ALOFT. SO THUNDER MAY
BE SPARSE, BUT SHOWERS COULD AGAIN BECOME WIDESPREAD DURING THE
OVERNIGHT AS THE LOW LEVEL JET TAKES A STAB A FEEDING CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT. SO THE WATCH IS NO LONGER NEEDED AREAWIDE, BUT WE MAY
STILL NEED AN ADVISORY OR FEW BEFORE THIS TROUGH LIFTS AWAY THIS
TIME TOMORROW. THEN WE CAN TAKE A BREAK FOR THE WEEKEND AND LISTEN
FOR THE TYPICAL SUMMER AFTERNOONS OF BRIEF THUNDER ROARS FROM
ISOLATED POP-UPS AS THE HEAT BUILDS AND STEAMS THE ABUNDANT
MOISTURE BACK OUT OF OUR SOILS. /24/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 104 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2025
MVFR CIGS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS PORTIONS OF NE TX/SE OK/ADJACENT
SW AR, WHICH WILL BE THE FAVORED AREA FOR ISOLATED TO WIDELY
SCATTERED -SHRA DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT AS THE PRIMARY UPPER TROUGH
AXIS CONTINUES TO LIFT NE OUT OF THE AREA. FARTHER E, IFR CIGS
HAVE DEVELOPED OVER PORTIONS OF SCNTRL AR AND NCNTRL LA JUST W OF
MLU, WHICH SHOULD LINGER/SPREAD E INTO MLU THROUGH DAYBREAK.
ADDITIONAL IFR/LOW MVFR CIGS SHOULD DEVELOP AFTER 09Z ELSEWHERE
ACROSS E TX/NW LA, WITH SLOW IMPROVEMENT IN THE CIGS EXPECTED BY
MID TO LATE MORNING. SCATTERED CONVECTION MAY REDEVELOP BY/AFTER
10Z OVER CNTRL AND NE LA, AFFECTING MLU PERIODICALLY THROUGH THE
MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING AROUND MIDDAY. HAVE CONTINUED VCSH
MENTION HERE, ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION SHOULD BE MORE ISOLATED
ELSEWHERE, THUS CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO MENTION IN THE OTHER
TERMINALS ATTM. VFR CIGS SHOULD RETURN OVER MUCH OF THE AREA BY
MIDDAY, AND SHOULD SCATTER OUT BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AREAWIDE.
SOME CU MAY LINGER AFTER 00Z SATURDAY, WITH ADDITIONAL AC/CIRRUS
CIGS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING FROM ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
CONVECTION THAT MAY LINGER OVER SE OK/NRN SECTIONS OF SW AR. LIGHT
S WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME SSW 5-8KTS AFTER 15Z. /15/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 104 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 74 91 76 92 / 30 50 20 40
MLU 71 89 73 90 / 50 70 30 50
DEQ 69 87 71 88 / 40 40 10 30
TXK 73 89 74 91 / 40 50 20 40
ELD 69 87 70 90 / 50 70 30 50
TYR 74 91 75 89 / 10 30 10 30
GGG 72 91 73 90 / 20 40 10 40
LFK 73 92 74 92 / 10 50 10 50
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
SHORT TERM...24
AVIATION...15
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