790  
FXUS64 KSHV 090647  
AFDSHV  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
147 AM CDT WED JUL 9 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
ISSUED AT 1154 PM CDT TUE JUL 8 2025  
 
- SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN  
BE POSSIBLE WITH THE AID OF DAYTIME HEATING TODAY.  
 
- ISOLATED STORMS COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND EXCESSIVE  
HEAVY RAINFALL.  
 
- UPPER RIDGE SETTING UP ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY  
COULD RESULT IN HEAT ADVISORY HEADLINES BY THE END OF THE  
7-DAY FORECAST.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1154 PM CDT TUE JUL 8 2025  
 
STILL DEALING WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM  
OR TWO...MAINLY NEAR AND NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR LATE THIS  
EVENING. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE DISSIPATING BUT WE WILL  
LIKELY KEEP AT LEAST ISOLATED STORMS AROUND THROUGH AT LEAST SUNRISE  
NEAR THE I-20 CORRIDOR DUE TO AN INVERTED UPPER TROUGH THAT  
REMAINS ENTRENCHED ACROSS OUR REGION. THIS FEATURE IS WEDGED  
BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND UPPER RIDGING  
ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION OF THE COUNTRY. HIGH PWATS UPWARDS  
OF 2 INCHES REMAINS FIRMLY ENTRENCHED ACROSS OUR REGION AS WELL  
SO ALL WE NEED IS SOME DIURNAL HEATING AND YOU HAVE THE NECESSARY  
INGREDIENTS FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
ONCE AGAIN FOR TODAY INTO THE EVENING HOURS TONIGHT. THE GREATEST  
COVERAGE AREA APPEARS TO BE NEAR AND SOUTH AND EAST OF THE I-30  
CORRIDOR TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING AS THIS IS WHERE THE HIGHEST  
PWAT SHOULD RESIDE.  
 
THESE INGREDIENTS SHIFT EVERY SO SLOWLY EASTWARD FOR THURSDAY AND  
THUS, THE HIGHEST POPS THU/THU EVNG SHOULD RESIDE ACROSS THE EAST  
AND SOUTHEAST HALF OF OUR REGION. BY FRIDAY, THE REMNANT SHORTWAVE  
TROUGH SHOULD HAVE DIMINISHED TO LITTLE MORE THAN A WEAK SHEAR  
AXIS ACROSS OUR REGION WITH DRIER AIR BEGINNING TO INFILTRATE OUR  
REGION FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL RESULT IN A REDUCTION IN POP  
COVERAGE WITH POPS DELEGATED TO OUR FAR EASTERN AND SOUTHERN ZONES  
ONLY FOR FRIDAY.  
 
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE TAPERED SOMEWHAT TODAY BY PRECIPITATION  
CHANCES BUT NOT TO THE EXTREME THE NBM SUGGESTS. SLIGHTLY LESSER  
STORM COVERAGE ON THURSDAY AND ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY MEANS HOTTER  
TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS BY FRIDAY RANGING IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER  
90S AREAWIDE.  
 
FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND, WE SHOULD BEGIN TO SEE AN INCREASE IN  
PWAT FROM THE SOUTH AND THIS COMBINED WITH OUR WEAK SHEAR AXIS IN  
PLACE SHOULD RESULT IN AT LEAST ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DIURNALLY  
DRIVEN STORM COVERAGE ACROSS OUR REGION THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY.  
DID NOT STRAY FROM NBM POPS OR TEMPS THROUGH THE WEEKEND DESPITE  
UPPER RIDGING BEGINNING TO RETROGRADE FROM THE SOUTHEAST U.S. ON  
SATURDAY INTO THE LOWER MISS VALLEY BY LATE SUNDAY. THIS FEATURE  
SHOULD BEGIN TO SETUP ACROSS THE HEART OF OUR REGION BY EARLY NEXT  
WEEK WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN CRITICAL HEAT INDICES AND THE  
POSSIBLE RETURN TO HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA TO START THE NEXT WORK  
WEEK.  
 
13  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(06Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1243 AM CDT WED JUL 9 2025  
 
FOR THE 09/06Z TAF UPDATE, VFR VIS/CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL  
THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD WITH VCTS RETURNING FROM 08/18Z TO  
09/00Z AS SOUTHERLY WINDS SLACKEN BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. /16/  
 
 
   
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  
 
ISSUED AT 1154 PM CDT TUE JUL 8 2025  
 
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT LIKELY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT AS WIDESPREAD  
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE NOT FORECAST. HOWEVER, AN ISOLATED STORM  
OR TWO COULD REACH SEVERE LIMITS PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND  
EXCESSIVE HEAVY RAINFALL THAT COULD RESULT IN AREA FLOODING.  
 
13  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
SHV 93 75 94 77 / 60 50 50 20  
MLU 94 73 93 74 / 60 50 60 30  
DEQ 92 70 94 71 / 30 20 20 10  
TXK 96 74 96 75 / 40 30 30 10  
ELD 91 70 92 72 / 50 40 50 20  
TYR 92 73 94 75 / 60 50 30 10  
GGG 93 73 94 75 / 60 50 40 10  
LFK 94 73 94 73 / 60 50 40 10  
 
 
   
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
AR...NONE.  
LA...NONE.  
OK...NONE.  
TX...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...13  
AVIATION...16  
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