133  
FXUS64 KSHV 091819  
AFDSHV  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
119 PM CDT WED JUL 9 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
ISSUED AT 1103 AM CDT WED JUL 9 2025  
 
- SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
POSSIBLE WITH THE AID OF DAYTIME HEATING.  
 
- ISOLATED STORMS COULD PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS AND LOCALLY  
HEAVY RAINFALL.  
 
- UPPER RIDGE SETTING UP ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY  
COULD RESULT IN HEAT ADVISORY HEADLINES BY THE END OF THE  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1103 AM CDT WED JUL 9 2025  
 
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STRETCHING  
SOUTH ACROSS ARKANSAS INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS WILL ALLOW FOR  
INCREASED INSTABILITY ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. AT THIS TIME,  
ALREADY BEGINNING TO SEE RADAR ECHOES ALONG THE EASTERN EXTENT OF  
THE TROUGH ACROSS PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS. CONVECTION TO  
INCREASE WITH THE HIGHEST COVERAGE ACROSS MAINLY DEEP EAST TEXAS  
AND NORTH LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY BE  
POSSIBLE WITH SOME STORMS DUE TO THE INCREASED PW VALUES NEAR 2  
INCHES. OTHERWISE, WITH INCREASED INSTABILITY AND CLOUD COVER,  
TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN THE EXPECTED  
JULY HIGHS, AVERAGING AROUND 90 DEGREES AREAWIDE.  
 
CONDITIONS TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE THOUGH LATE EVENING HOURS WITH  
THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. TEMPERATURES TONIGHT TO AVERAGE IN  
THE LOWER 70S.  
 
UPPER-TROUGH TO LINGER ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY ALLOWING  
FOR ANOTHER ROUND AFTERNOON OF SCATTERED CONVECTION. UPPER-RIDGE  
ACROSS THE BAJA PENINSULA AND NORTHEASTERN GULF WILL EVENTUALLY  
MERGE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CONUS BY SATURDAY, RESULTING IN A  
GRADUAL WARMING AND DRYING TREND EACH DAY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF  
THE WEEK. WITH THE ONSET OF UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING HIGH TEMPERATURES  
EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE MID TO UPPER 90S ACROSS SOUTH ARKANSAS  
AND NORTH LOUISIANA BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON PROMPTING THE POSSIBILITY  
FOR HEAT HEADLINES THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER-RIDGE BECOMES  
CENTERED ACROSS THE REGION. OTHERWISE, WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND  
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS NEARING TRIPLE DIGITS BY TUESDAY.  
/05/  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 114 PM CDT WED JUL 9 2025  
 
ANOTHER ROUND OF AFTERNOON SHRA/TSRA IS ONGOING ACROSS THE  
AIRSPACE, WITH THE MAJORITY LOCATED ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-20  
TERMINALS. THIS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH EXPECTED  
DIRECT AND VICINITY IMPACTS TO LOCAL TERMINALS. AS IS TO BE  
EXPECTED THIS TIME OF THE YEAR, GUSTY WINDS AND INSTANCES OF SMALL  
HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY STRONGER TSRA. BY THE EVENING, THIS WILL  
DIMINISH WITH CLOUD DEBRIS IN PLACE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. MID  
CLOUD WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SUNRISE AHEAD OF ANOTHER AFTERNOON CU  
FIELD, AND THE RETURN OF VCTS CLOSE TO 18Z. S/SW TERMINAL WINDS  
ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED BETWEEN 5-10KT, BECOMING GUSTY AND VRB  
UNDER AFOREMENTIONED TSRA.  
 
KNAPP  
 
 
   
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  
 
ISSUED AT 1154 AM CDT WED JUL 9 2025  
 
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT LIKELY THROUGH TONIGHT.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
SHV 75 94 77 96 / 40 40 10 10  
MLU 73 93 75 96 / 40 60 30 30  
DEQ 70 93 71 94 / 10 20 10 0  
TXK 74 96 76 98 / 20 20 10 0  
ELD 70 93 72 96 / 30 40 20 10  
TYR 73 94 75 94 / 30 20 10 0  
GGG 73 94 75 94 / 30 30 10 10  
LFK 73 94 73 95 / 40 40 10 20  
 
 
   
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
AR...NONE.  
LA...NONE.  
OK...NONE.  
TX...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...05  
AVIATION...53  
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