799  
FXUS64 KSHV 101740 AAA  
AFDSHV  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
1240 PM CDT THU JUL 10 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
ISSUED AT 1159 PM CDT WED JUL 9 2025  
 
- ONE MORE DAY OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS DAYTIME SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY, MAINLY ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN AND EASTERN AREAS.  
 
- RAIN CHANCES DIMINISH FOR FRIDAY THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.  
 
- TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH  
CRITICAL HEAT INDICES POSSIBLE AND THE RETURN OF HEAT ADVISORIES  
NEXT WEEK.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2025  
 
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE GULF WATERS WILL ALLOW FOR WEAK  
SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE ARKLATEX THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE  
WEEKEND. ALOFT, AN UPPER-TROUGH ACROSS THE REGION WILL ALLOW FOR  
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AREAWIDE THROUGH THIS EVENING, ALLOWING FOR  
INCREASED RAIN CHANCES ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH LOUISIANA.  
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO IMPROVE BY MIDNIGHT WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS  
FORECAST TO FALL INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S.  
 
RAIN CHANCES TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY  
NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC RETROGRADES  
WEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST, EVENTUALLY BECOMING CENTERED  
ACROSS THE ARKLATEX BY SUNDAY. SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE HIGH  
WILL BRING DIMINISHED RAIN CHANCES ALONG WITH A GRADUAL WARMING  
TREND WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES BY WEDNESDAY NEARING 100 DEGREES  
AREAWIDE.  
 
THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED HUMIDITY VALUES  
WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDEX VALUES APPROACHING ADVISORY CRITERIA  
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION AS EARLY AS SUNDAY. /05/  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CDT THU JUL 10 2025  
 
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND MUCH OF  
TONIGHT. SCATTERED CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED EARLY THIS AFTERNOON  
ACROSS N LA MAINLY ALONG/S OF I-20, WITH THIS TREND EXPECTED TO  
CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON WHILE GRADUALLY  
SHIFTING FROM W TO E. HAVE INSERTED VCSH AT MLU WITH TEMPO THUNDER  
MENTION THERE FOR THE AFTERNOON, BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO  
INCLUDE THUNDER IN FOR THE SHV TERMINAL, WITH A SCATTERED CU FIELD  
EXPECTED ELSEWHERE THROUGH EARLY EVENING. ASIDE FROM SOME ELEVATED  
CIGS OVER PORTIONS OF CNTRL AND NE LA THIS EVENING, SKC IS  
EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT HOURS, ALTHOUGH  
IFR/LOW MVFR CIGS SHOULD DEVELOP BY/SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK FRIDAY  
OVER DEEP E TX/WRN LA S OF I-20, AND LIFT N WHILE SCATTERING OUT  
THROUGH MIC-MORNING. THE HIGHER CONFIDENCE FOR THESE LOWER CIGS  
REMAINS AT LFK, WITH A SCATTERED CU FIELD DEVELOPING BY LATE  
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AREAWIDE. ISOLATED TO WIDELY  
SCATTERED CONVECTION MAY AGAIN DEVELOP OVER CNTRL AND NE LA DURING  
THE AFTERNOON FRIDAY, JUST BEYOND THE END OF THIS TAF PERIOD. SSW  
WINDS 6-10KTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME S AND DIMINISH TO 3-7KTS  
AFTER 00Z. /15/  
 
 
   
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  
 
ISSUED AT 1159 PM CDT WED JUL 9 2025  
 
SPOTTER ACTIVATION SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH  
TONIGHT.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
SHV 92 75 95 75 / 40 20 10 0  
MLU 91 73 95 74 / 50 20 30 10  
DEQ 92 71 94 72 / 10 10 0 0  
TXK 94 74 97 74 / 20 10 10 0  
ELD 92 72 96 73 / 30 20 20 10  
TYR 93 74 94 74 / 20 10 0 0  
GGG 93 74 95 74 / 20 10 10 0  
LFK 93 73 95 74 / 40 20 20 0  
 
 
   
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
AR...NONE.  
LA...NONE.  
OK...NONE.  
TX...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...05  
AVIATION...15  
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